Author Topic: Fall/Winter '18/'19  (Read 26306 times)

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Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #550 on: March 11, 2019, 09:20:06 PM »
Something North Platte NWS put out in forecaster discussion this afternoon.

: This system has the potential to be one of the stronger storms in the last 10 years or so - with very deep surface low pressure and abundant moisture resulting in very strong winds and heavy precipitation. Please monitor the latest forecast information.
Wow, I just read your AFD. Taking a negative tilt, progged to drop to 972mb (that's 28.70" inHg :shock:). This could be a very bad boy for a lot of folks....

WOW, that is very low pressure.
Randy

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #551 on: March 11, 2019, 11:07:53 PM »
Something North Platte NWS put out in forecaster discussion this afternoon.

: This system has the potential to be one of the stronger storms in the last 10 years or so - with very deep surface low pressure and abundant moisture resulting in very strong winds and heavy precipitation. Please monitor the latest forecast information.
Wow, I just read your AFD. Taking a negative tilt, progged to drop to 972mb (that's 28.70" inHg :shock:). This could be a very bad boy for a lot of folks....

WOW, that is very low pressure.

I just read this same from HSI AFD. I am actually happy we are just looking at rain, plus the high wind watch. I see you are not in the blizzard warning...yet.

Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #552 on: March 12, 2019, 08:59:49 AM »
Something North Platte NWS put out in forecaster discussion this afternoon.

: This system has the potential to be one of the stronger storms in the last 10 years or so - with very deep surface low pressure and abundant moisture resulting in very strong winds and heavy precipitation. Please monitor the latest forecast information.
Wow, I just read your AFD. Taking a negative tilt, progged to drop to 972mb (that's 28.70" inHg :shock:). This could be a very bad boy for a lot of folks....

WOW, that is very low pressure.

I just read this same from HSI AFD. I am actually happy we are just looking at rain, plus the high wind watch. I see you are not in the blizzard warning...yet.

We went into a blizzard warning overnight.
I'm not a trained meteorologist but can read models. My numbers look like minimum 7" snow backside after 6 pm, plus a period in front of 6 hours freezing rain or snow with the upper atmosphere above freezing so what falls is the big question. 
That could be bad if we get 1/2" ice before the snow kicks in around 6pm when the atmosphere is all snow. On top of this is heavy rain prior over frozen ground, flooding could occur plus wind forecast to reach 50 mph range.  It's just a big mess really.   
Randy

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #553 on: March 12, 2019, 09:13:34 AM »
Our local weather office has trimmed precip amounts by 1/2 inch, now in the 1-1/2" range, but as they say "if's" remain. No rivers around here to add worry about flooding. Wind is still in the forecast for us esp on Thursday.

Get your milk and tp now before the rush hits!


Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #554 on: March 12, 2019, 09:46:51 AM »
Our local weather office has trimmed precip amounts by 1/2 inch, now in the 1-1/2" range, but as they say "if's" remain. No rivers around here to add worry about flooding. Wind is still in the forecast for us esp on Thursday.

Get your milk and tp now before the rush hits!

You are right 6 hour period of possible ice, could take the power lines down somewhere. Thanks for the reminder.  [tup]
Randy

Offline zackdog

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #555 on: March 12, 2019, 10:53:01 AM »
Just happened to check my records, the last time I had a daily mean temperature above freezing was on November 2. 

Mark
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Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #556 on: March 12, 2019, 01:35:54 PM »
Lots of potential variety in our area for weather: Flash Flood Watch, Dense Fog Advisory, Winter Storm Watch, High Wind Watch.


Offline BKS97

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #557 on: March 12, 2019, 04:02:43 PM »
Lots of potential variety in our area for weather: Flash Flood Watch, Dense Fog Advisory, Winter Storm Watch, High Wind Watch.

Yes, March seems to bring it all.  We are on the warmer side of the big system and are expected to have fog, rain, snow, freezing rain and blustery conditions Wednesday and Thursday.  We still have 2 feet or more of snow on the ground, so the rain will take some of it away but also may cause flooding in some areas. 

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #558 on: March 12, 2019, 05:40:34 PM »

I don't know for sure, but the potential for spring flooding would seem to be high this year. Our snow is gone but frost is still coming out of the ground. Today it is 61. Have not seen that in awhile.

Be careful of that snow melt up there.


Offline BKS97

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #559 on: March 12, 2019, 07:27:44 PM »
Most of the state is under a flood watch.  Street flooding in cities and towns is a real concern, and some cities are asking residents to dig out storm sewers on their streets so the flow of water from the rain and melted snow isnít blocked.  My wife and I live on high ground out in the country, so weíll be OK.  I hired a crew of 3 young guys the other day to rake off snow along the edge of the our roof to prevent any ice dams from forming.  I used to do it myself but itís hard work best left to younger folks.

Offline Bunty

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #560 on: March 12, 2019, 09:29:02 PM »
Article says central U.S. is about to get hit with a bomb cyclone.  So far for here just a high wind warning.  But a big line of thunderstorms now in New Mexico will be here by mid morning Wednesday.
https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-central-u-s-is-about-to-get-hit-with-a-bomb-cyclon-1833239904
 
« Last Edit: March 12, 2019, 09:47:22 PM by Bunty »

Also the 2nd home page using modified AltDashboard 6.95 at http://stillwaterweather.com/wx/2ndhome.php

Offline CW2274

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #561 on: March 12, 2019, 09:52:15 PM »
Article says central U.S. is about to get hit with a bomb cyclone.
Yes, minus the catchy name, we spoke of it yesterday.

Offline CW2274

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #562 on: March 12, 2019, 11:13:18 PM »
Our local weather office has trimmed precip amounts by 1/2 inch, now in the 1-1/2" range, but as they say "if's" remain. No rivers around here to add worry about flooding. Wind is still in the forecast for us esp on Thursday.

Get your milk and tp now before the rush hits!

You are right 6 hour period of possible ice, could take the power lines down somewhere. Thanks for the reminder.  [tup]
Well, if the ice alone doesn't bring'em down, sure looks like the wind will help. Wed. 18Z, those isobars are getting mighty tight.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #563 on: March 13, 2019, 09:44:22 AM »
Randy, Pressure 29.16 falling here at 8:43 cdt.

Just .62" since midnight. But water standing in some places.

Be careful of this one. You will really be under the gun.

Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #564 on: March 13, 2019, 11:45:12 AM »
Thanks will do, 29.33 currently and been solid rain since about 4am  .75" so far, much more to come before snow kicks in around 4pm.

I've added a new tool called "The Rain Stake"
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Randy

Offline cospringswx

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #565 on: March 13, 2019, 12:34:34 PM »
80 mph winds expected here with a foot of snow. I'm on the NE side of Colorado Springs.




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Offline zackdog

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #566 on: March 13, 2019, 01:45:36 PM »
My records for barometric pressure only go back 15 years, but this morning Cumulus told me I had a new record.  The Altimeter pressure hit a low of 29.124 inches at 7:54 this morning.  It is up to 29.174 now.  It has been snowing since 3:45 this morning.  At 7 am, when I took my CoCo readings, snow board was at 0.7" and Davis rain collector w/heater read 0.05" of rain.  Haven't ventured out to check snow board, but Davis is currently reading 0.48" of rain for the day.

Hey Randy, if you get your waders on to go check the "Rain Stake", could you tell me how far it is from the 3 Ft reading to the top point on the snowflake? :lol:  If it doesn't quit snowing soon, I am going to lose my Snow Stake.


Mark

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Offline chief-david

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #567 on: March 13, 2019, 04:44:44 PM »
96 mph wind gust in Colorado Springs

https://twitter.com/breakingweather/status/1105914191347679236

Wind picture from hint.fm/wind
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Offline DRoberts

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #568 on: March 13, 2019, 04:53:43 PM »
Pressure 28.91, still falling slowly. Not a personal record, having been in a major typhoon in '56. But still pretty low.

Spent most of the day in partly cloudy  conditions with the dry slot, but that is ending now.

Offline cospringswx

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #569 on: March 13, 2019, 05:42:07 PM »




Ryan 

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Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #570 on: March 13, 2019, 06:03:50 PM »
Nice looks like here right now.  [tup]
Mark I'm in waders for sure. The snow is piling up now might not need them soon, I was at my neighbors and there 100x60' huge garage is flooded because of the frozen ground and water. Its a mess inside with carpet, furniture they had stored all wet.
Randy

Offline zackdog

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #571 on: March 13, 2019, 06:33:01 PM »
Well, so much for the Snow Stake.

Mark

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Offline gwwilk

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #572 on: March 13, 2019, 07:02:50 PM »
The roads in Nebraska are currently under siege.  This map tells the tale.

They've pulled all of the plows off the road in Nebraska's panhandle (scroll and zoom to see)!
Regards, Jerry Wilkins
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Offline Jasiu

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #573 on: March 13, 2019, 07:33:23 PM »
I don't think I've ever seen doppler wind returns like this in the absence of a tropical system before. Wow.

The light blue and orange depict 60-70mph sustained.

Offline cospringswx

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Re: Fall/Winter '18/'19
« Reply #574 on: March 13, 2019, 09:40:58 PM »
National guard is activated here.




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