Speaking of these messages, has anybody noticed these messages are often wrong, or grossly late? It seems to be like asking a magic 8-ball questions! My temperature went from 37 to 59 in a three hour period this morning, and it says "little temperature change". What does it consider a lot of temperature change, molten lava falling down? 
Also, I don't think the Davis forecasts are supposed to be for temp change from night to day, but rather from day to day. What was the temp yesterday at that time, compared to today at the same time?
(The dirty little secret of weather forecasting is that you can achieve 70-75% accuracy in forecasting today by saying "same as yesterday". The challenge in forecasting is in predicting the changes.)
This is also why, unless something like a front is expected to move through, a long term forecast (5-10 day) by the "big guys" (NWS, etc.) will often simply give the normal conditions expected for the current season (which, if you think about it, makes complete sense). Keep an eye on your 5-10 day NWS forecasts and you'll see what I mean. I'm not saying 5-10 forecasts turn out to be correct, but they are safe bets when fronts aren't expected.
But as SLO said, the Davis station doesn't give an hourly forecast; it doesn't even attempt to forecast highs and lows. Nevertheless, it is surpisingly accurate at forecasting weather changes associated with fronts.
What really amazes me is how accurate the professional forecasts can be. It's especially interesting in the winter when the NWS forecasts a winter storm over the Great Lakes by saying that a low will develop SE of the Rockies and intensify as it moves NE, and you look at the surface map and see nothing there or even west of there that looks like a low. But they're looking at the bigger picture, including convergences and divergences in the jet stream. Then sure enough, a low develops over OK and becomes a raging winter storm as it moves NE. Fascinating.