General Weather/Earth Sciences Topics > Severe Weather
Rough night down south
NoQuitters:
I don't think I've ever seen this high of intensity on the GOES image before. The GR3 radar is pretty impressive as well. :shock:
NoQuitters:
Look's like it may be another long night for some folks.
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 AM CST TUE NOV 14 2006
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
SOUTH TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
A VERY STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE...WITH HIGH LEVEL WIND SPEEDS
ABOVE 130 MPH...WILL SWEEP RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES LATER TODAY...AND INTO OKLAHOMA...NORTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW
THAT WILL TRACK EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING TO NEAR
MEMPHIS BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW WARM AND UNSEASONABLY
HUMID AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO BENEATH THE INCREASING
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
AS THE WARM HUMID AIR ENCOUNTERS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARM AND
COLD FRONTS...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL FORM OVER PARTS OF
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. WHILE SOME STORMS COULD
APPEAR AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON...MORE WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WINDS AND RICH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO THESE
STORMS...AND THE UPLIFT PROVIDED BY THE INTENSIFYING LOW...
SUPERCELL STORMS APPEAR LIKELY. SOME OF THESE ROTATING STORMS MAY
PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND HAIL GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BE PRESENT.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..CORFIDI.. 11/14/2006
ocala:
Thats suppose to come through my area Wednesday night. SPC currently has the area under a slight risk.
The last front that came through a F1 tornado touch down just north of Orlando.
weathergirl:
Environment Canada has issued a Special Weather Statement for this same system. Looks like my area may be in for some heavy rain.
ocala:
Could be an interesting night.
IT APPEARS ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR A SEVERE
WEATHER EVENT ACROSS JAX CWA TONIGHT. MODELS HAVE BEEN VERY
GOOD WRT RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
WITH STRONG FORCING/DYNAMICS SPREADING INTO THE AREA. THE MAIN
CONCERN WAS DE-STABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE DUE TO RECENT BOUT
OF COOL WEATHER...BUT INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED
LOCAL AIR MASS TO QUICKLY MODIFY. THUS...HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE
THAT AT LEAST STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO PUSH
INTO OUR WESTERN-MOST COUNTIES (I.E., AREAS WEST OF I-75 CORRIDOR
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 221/441 CORRIDORS
OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SQUALL LINE
LIKELY ENTERING OUR WESTERN-MOST ZONES LATE THIS EVENING. ALL
ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH SQUALL LINE
EXITING INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
Go to full version