Author Topic: Milton  (Read 5480 times)

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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Milton
« on: October 06, 2024, 10:53:07 AM »
Milton Likely to become a major hurricane. As of now, Milton seems to be headed for the Tampa Bay area, with some models even suggesting Category 5 intensity.[1]

Milton is expected to become the fourth Major Hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Data as of 14:00 UTC
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Offline ocala

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Re: Milton
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2024, 12:15:57 AM »
Watching closely.

Offline PragmaticStatistic

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Re: Milton
« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2024, 06:25:42 AM »
Take note of the impact that the warm surface current of the Thermohaline Circulation will have on Milton today Oct. 7, 2024. The warm current travels up the coast of Brazil past the equator and flows into the Gulf of Mexico just at the point Milton will travel today. The warm current then loops around down the west coast of Florida near Tampa, exactly where Milton is expected to travel. The warm current continues around the Florida Peninsula and up the Atlantic coast where Milton will once again pass over it. At this time of the year, the sea surface temperature along the coast of Florida is at its warmest. Considering its size, as the storm passes over land it will be pulling strength from the warm current on both sides of the peninsula.


Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2024, 11:56:56 AM »
Milton intensified from a Tropical Storm to a Category 4 Hurricane. This is some of the fastest intensifying hurricanes I have ever seen. Milton is expected to become a Category 5 hurricane later today.

Milton Tracker
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Offline SterlingVASPC

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Re: Milton
« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2024, 01:26:57 PM »
This might be the first rapidly intensifying hurricane i've ever seen. It hasn't even been a year and Florida is already about to get slammed. Poor Florida.
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Offline Vasco

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Re: Milton
« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2024, 01:28:38 PM »
Milton is expected to become a Category 5 hurricane later today.

Probably back to Category 3 before it makes landfall: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crl8e084r9yo

Meanwhile, we might get a "glancing blow" from the remains of Hurricane Kirk on Wednesday/Thursday as it targets the Low Countries: https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c1d5klw2glwo
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2024, 02:14:14 PM »
Milton is now the strongest hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, with winds of 175 mph, and a barometer of 911mb. This storm intensified by 115 mph in a span of 24 hrs (from 12 PM Thursday to 12 PM Today, in CDT.)

If you take the 1 PM update from yesterday to today, you get 95 mph.

Hurricane Patricia[1] holds the current record of the fastest intensification, with a wind speed increase of 120 mph in 24 hours. What we are seeing from this storm is unbelievable. :shock:
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2024, 06:07:19 PM »
Milton is now at 180 mph, and at 905mb, tied with the third most intense Atlantic Hurricane on record. (Tied with Irma (2017), Mitch (1998), and Rita (2005).)

Milton is expected for the Tampa, Florida area as a Category 3 hurricane, with up to 12 ft of storm surge expected. The NHC Website appears to be overwhelmed with traffic, so it may not be available at this time.
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Offline ocala

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Re: Milton
« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2024, 10:01:05 PM »
This might be the first rapidly intensifying hurricane i've ever seen. It hasn't even been a year and Florida is already about to get slammed. Poor Florida.
Last year a Pacific hurricane hit the West Coast of central America. It went from cat 1 to cat 5 in 24 hours.

Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2024, 09:49:29 AM »
This might be the first rapidly intensifying hurricane i've ever seen. It hasn't even been a year and Florida is already about to get slammed. Poor Florida.
Last year a Pacific hurricane hit the West Coast of central America. It went from cat 1 to cat 5 in 24 hours.

I believe that storm was Hurricane Otis. It intensified by 90 mph in 24 hours.
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2024, 05:09:12 PM »
Milton went back up to a Category 5 Hurricane twice, making this the third hurricane to do so in the Gulf of Mexico.
The only other hurricanes to do this were:
Camile in 1969.
Allen in 1980.

Source
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Offline ocala

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Re: Milton
« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2024, 06:12:08 AM »
Possible effects of a landfall south of Tampa would be that Tampa Bay could be drained. The strong NE winds could push all that water out to sea. I've seen it before on the west end of Lake Erie where the strong west winds push all the water east leaving the western end high and dry. A similar thing happened with hurricane Irma in 2017. It came up Florida through the Keys on the western side of the peninsula. The strong east winds pushed water from the SW coastal bays out to sea leaving them dry.   

Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2024, 11:53:06 AM »
A multi-vortex tornado was sighted on a webcam near Lakeport, Florida. Video
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2024, 07:13:54 PM »
Over 133 Tornado Warnings were issued in Florida today, including several intense tornadoes.[1]
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Offline ocala

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Re: Milton
« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2024, 07:50:24 PM »
Over 133 Tornado Warnings were issued in Florida today, including several intense tornadoes.[1]
Thats crazy.
Also my DP is 69. I have never seen a DP that low in a tropical airmass. They usually hover in the low 80's.

Offline SlowModem

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Re: Milton
« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2024, 08:08:32 PM »
Over 133 Tornado Warnings were issued in Florida today, including several intense tornadoes.[1]
Thats crazy.
Also my DP is 69. I have never seen a DP that low in a tropical airmass. They usually hover in the low 80's.
I hope you make it through the storm all right.  Hoping for the best for Florida today and tonight.  Stay safe and watch for tornadoes!
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2024, 10:16:53 AM »
Milton made landfall at 8:35 PM EDT in Siesta Key, Florida. (Sarasota, Florida.)

Here are some interesting stats:
This is a record number of tornado warnings for the state of Florida, EVER. (69 was the previous record from Hurricane Irma in 2017.)[1]
Milton is tied for third as one of the strongest Atlantic Hurricanes on record.[2]
Pressure: 897mb
Winds: 180 mph

The First NHC Advisory was spot-on with the forecast landfall, only ten miles off from where Hurricane Milton actually went.[3]

Highest Gusts:[4]
107 MPH, Venice, FL
105 MPH, Egmont Channel, FL
103 MPH, Skyway Pier, FL
102 MPH, St. Petersburg, FL & Sarasota, FL

Highest Rain Total:
17 Inches, St. Petersburg, FL[5]

Data is as of 14:00 UTC, 10/10/2024

Feel free to report any information on this post that is inaccurate.  :-)
« Last Edit: October 10, 2024, 01:52:40 PM by JesseLikesWeather »
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Offline PragmaticStatistic

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Re: Milton
« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2024, 11:11:00 AM »
My home is 84 miles north of where Milton's eye touched the ground and 3 miles east of the Gulf of Mexico. We had 80 mph sustained winds, and 10 inches of rain and had to evacuate and stay at a hotel 2 miles down the road because we own a manufactured home west of Route 19 and are in evacuation zone B. We just arrived home and fortunately, our house had no damage or flooding issues. This comes after a similar experience with Hurricane Helene a few weeks back that passed us 80 miles to the northwest out in the Gulf. And before that Hurricane Idalia passed us last year.

Offline ocala

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Re: Milton
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2024, 12:24:50 PM »
My home is 84 miles north of where Milton's eye touched the ground and 3 miles east of the Gulf of Mexico. We had 80 mph sustained winds, and 10 inches of rain and had to evacuate and stay at a hotel 2 miles down the road because we own a manufactured home west of Route 19 and are in evacuation zone B. We just arrived home and fortunately, our house had no damage or flooding issues. This comes after a similar experience with Hurricane Helene a few weeks back that passed us 80 miles to the northwest out in the Gulf. And before that Hurricane Idalia passed us last year.
That's great that you came home to no damage  with 80mph sustained winds. Best I got here was a 39mph gust but I'm surrounded by tree's. Also 7.28 in the bucket. A friend of my daughters from Tampa came to stay with her in Gainesville. She's dreading going home to what she might find.   

Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2024, 12:34:32 PM »
I have a friend in Plant City, (Tampa, Florida Subdivision) and they turned off power before Milton hit. They did see extreme winds and flooding, but they are okay. Thank Jesus for that!  :grin:
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2024, 01:52:06 PM »
Milton is now post-tropical as of the 2 PM EDT Update.

Highest Intensity:
180 mph
897mb

Fatalities:[1]
1 in Mexico
7 in Florida
 
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Offline JesseLikesWeather

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Re: Milton
« Reply #21 on: October 11, 2024, 10:42:09 AM »
Milton dissipated at 5:00 PM EDT October 10th as an extratropical cyclone.[1]

This Topic will stand as an archive for one of the most powerful hurricanes on record.
« Last Edit: October 24, 2024, 03:59:08 PM by JesseLikesWeather »
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