Topic: Fall/Winter '18/'19

[WeatherHost]

'Tons of Rain'.  Hey, don't look at me.  That's what it says.


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Probably not exactly untrue considering the weight of water and the several inches of rain expected over a wide area.

[BKS97]

The deep arctic cold of last week is over, and the NWS-Duluth office has issued a report about it.  The lowest temperature recorded was -56 at Cotton, a small town north of Duluth.  The complete report is here:

https://www.weather.gov/dlh/January2019Cold

The photo below shows media checking out the Cooperative Observer temperature sensor in Cotton. (Photo: NWS)

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[Bunty]

Temperature range quite amazing in Oklahoma Wednesday night from 71 in the southeast to 15 in the panhandle.  Had a minor cold thunderstorm earlier tonight.  Pea size hail fell on the southwest side of town.  But Stillwater didn't get the best part of it where it rained an inch in the next county west of here.  It was part of some storms that came in from western Oklahoma where they had hail up to quarter size.  Another chance of a cold thunderstorm coming later tonight and risk for changeover to heavy freezing rain.  One of the worst models has it up to .45".  High not expected to get above freezing tomorrow.
 

[ValentineWeather]

 Throw another log on day.
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[DRoberts]

ValentineWeather, +5 and Wind Chill minus 12 here. Cold going out to measure precip for CoCoRaHS this morning!

[Bunty]

The morning after the freezing rain, everybody's roof is white and my wind gauge is frozen stuck.  Fortunately, not much ice accumulation on the trees.  Unlike with the intense cold air mass that affected the upper Midwest, Oklahoma got the brunt of this one.  Forecast low of 11 tonight will be coldest low of winter.

Roads were like a skating rink around Stillwater this morning.  KOCO-5 of OKC said Stillwater got it worse with the ice than anywhere else. Travel took 2 or  3 hours to get to Stillwater from OKC.  It's normally 1 hour.  A Stillwater friend said her office in Stillwater called her and said do not come in.  OSU, Stillwater public schools and Meridian Career Tech closed.

[WeatherHost]

9AM today, 68
Now, 43
Drop of 25 degrees
Forecast to drop another 20 by Sunrise.

[chief-david]

Have some snow today.

Love how people spend time cleaning a 6 inch snow fall, before it is over. Just more work.

[Bunty]

Last summer, storm spotter Val Castor for KWTV-9, Oklahoma City provided amazing live video coverage of flash flooding in Stillwater before the long downpour had even let up.  Now it's the middle of winter, and Rob Hill,  Stillwater Emergency Management Director went on a Stillwater street tour on the aftermath of the freezing rain that fell early Thursday morning.  It's viewable here: https://stillwaterweather.com/afterfreezingraintour.php

Some interesting points along the way:
5:47 - 1st red light
7:00 - 2nd red light
14.10 -  Crossing Boomer Lake bridge
21:50 -  One of the riskiest areas done okay.
23:30 -  Rob explains why he sometimes shifts to neutral.
29:00 -  Turning to the side streets

"You gotta be a little bit weather nutty to work in emergency management", Rob Hill, Stillwater Emergency Management Director.  Hill has watched weather for Stillwater for a long time, since at least the Friday the 13th 1975 tornado.

[ValentineWeather]

ValentineWeather, +5 and Wind Chill minus 12 here. Cold going out to measure precip for CoCoRaHS this morning!

I saw you got below zero this morning. -18 and -19 here also. Been much colder before and not really close to the record for date of -28.

[WeatherHost]

Apparently in anticipation of heavy rains in Tennessee, TVA is dumping Lake Barkley:

Code: [Select]

Day and Hour Reservoir Elevation (behind dam)* Tailwater Elevation (below dam)* Average Hourly Discharge*
2/7/2019 1 AM CST 354.10 322.50 58,100
2/9/2019 12 AM CST 355.05 333.65 125,600
Outflow is more than doubled in the last two days.

[WeatherHost]

Kentucky Dam flow rates are somehow scaled differently, but they've also increased flow significantly:

Code: [Select]

Day and Hour Reservoir Elevation (behind dam)* Tailwater Elevation (below dam)* Average Hourly Discharge*
2/7/2019 1 AM CST 353.96 318.35 125,437
2/9/2019 2 AM CST 354.81 323.73 157,820

[WeatherHost]

For both:

"Elevations are in feet above sea level. Discharges are in cubic feet per second "

125,000 cubic feet per second is a whole bunch of water.

[WeatherHost]

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
521 AM CST Sat Feb 9 2019

...Extended period of moderate to heavy rain possible Sunday night
through Monday night...

Confidence is increasing that periods of moderate to occasionally
heavy rain could produce from 2 to 4 inches of rainfall over much
of the quad state region Sunday through Monday night. Locally
higher amounts would also be possible. With fairly wet soil
conditions already in place, this rain could lead to another round
of areal flooding in many locations. In addition, the rainfall
could serve to exacerbate the on-going river flooding across much
of the region. If forecast confidence continues to grow as the
system approaches, flood watches will likely be needed in future
forecasts.

$$

MEFFERT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
430 AM CST Sat Feb 9 2019


This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A light wintry mix of precipitation is expected late tonight over
all except southern portions of western Kentucky. A period of
light freezing rain is also expected. Please see the winter
weather advisory product for more information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A light wintry mix of precipitation is expected Sunday morning
over all except southern portions of western Kentucky. A period of
light freezing rain is also expected. Please see the winter
weather advisory product for more information.

Heavy rains are expected to return to much of the region Sunday
night through Monday night. From 2 to 4 inches of rain are now
anticipated over most areas, with locally higher amounts possible.
Not only could this lead to areal flooding, it could also
exacerbate the on-going river flooding across much of the quad
state region.

Levels will rise on several area rivers through the week, with
light to moderate flooding expected to develop at numerous
points.


$$



Happy Me --  Not.

[BKS97]

We have had a snowy week, and the snowblower got a workout — clearing the driveway, paths to the woodshed and workshop, not to mention an area for the dog to do her “business”.   And what else?  Ah, a trail to the weather stations!

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[ValentineWeather]

We have had a snowy week, and the snowblower got a workout — clearing the driveway, paths to the woodshed and workshop, not to mention an area for the dog to do her “business”.   And what else?  Ah, a trail to the weather stations!

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Cool pic, I want that much snow here but very unlikely.  It's not even nickel and dime snowfalls more like pennies when it snows.

[BKS97]

The February full Snow Moon is coming up next week.  Native Americans called it the Hunger Moon because food in the wild is harder to find this time of year.  The Minnesota Dept. of Natural Resources keeps track of the number of days with below-zero temperatures and the depth of snow in each county to determine the effects of severe weather on the state’s deer population.

Deer eat woody browse—leaves, twigs and buds—in winter, but many folks put out whole or cracked corn as a supplement and also like to watch the whitetails as they come into the yard.  I don’t feed deer any more, but did for years.  A half dozen whitetails usually waited for me on the edge of the woods when I stepped outside to make my way to the shop, where I kept the corn.  One deer always seemed determined to be the first to claim one of the little piles of corn I had scattered about.

[WeatherHost]

^^  I take it you're in some winter part of Australia?

[BKS97]

^^  I take it you're in some winter part of Australia?

Sorry.  Photo was OK on Ipad but upside down on PC. I removed it.

[chief-david]

Snowing here again. 2-4 today .  another 2-4 Tuesday. Getting tough to find places for some to put snow.

Have to watch my neighbor to make sure he does not take his snow and push it on my property with his four wheeler and blade. He has already proven he does not care about others.

[DRoberts]

^^  I take it you're in some winter part of Australia?

Sorry.  Photo was OK on Ipad but upside down on PC. I removed it.

I enjoyed the photo. Tame deer. Thanks for sharing!  I used my imagination on the orientation of the picture so it worked out.

[ValentineWeather]

^^  I take it you're in some winter part of Australia?

Sorry.  Photo was OK on Ipad but upside down on PC. I removed it.

I enjoyed the photo. Tame deer. Thanks for sharing!  I used my imagination on the orientation of the picture so it worked out.

Post it again bks97 , easy fix with most photo editors, simple rotation.

[BKS97]

I’ll try.  Thanks.

[Ski Pro 3]

Over 10', yes, that's FEET of snow in the past week in the South Lake Tahoe area ski resort of Sierra At Tahoe that I live near.  It's been amazing to go to bed after shoving the walks and wake up to an additional 3' in the morning and start all over again. 
The snow cam at Squaw Valley showed the groomer diving into his work, actually porposing up and down into the snow, snow fully covering him as if he was a mole burrowing under ground.  Ha! 

[CW2274]

Over 10', yes, that's FEET of snow in the past week in the South Lake Tahoe area ski resort of Sierra At Tahoe that I live near.  It's been amazing to go to bed after shoving the walks and wake up to an additional 3' in the morning and start all over again. 
The snow cam at Squaw Valley showed the groomer diving into his work, actually porposing up and down into the snow, snow fully covering him as if he was a mole burrowing under ground.  Ha!

I've been here and there, but that's one of, if not the most beautiful place I've ever been.