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Author Topic: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13  (Read 40147 times)

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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #25 on: May 18, 2013, 06:54:22 PM »
Ryan,

I've got your camera up. What direction is it pointing? Also, looks like the supercell shifted track to the NE some. TVS is roughly 30 mi to your SW. Be careful.
« Last Edit: May 18, 2013, 07:04:43 PM by sacreyweather »
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #26 on: May 18, 2013, 07:01:43 PM »
Nice volume scan John! What a cell! It's huge! I can't get over how much area this one supercell covers! The good thing (For Ryan) anyway, is that it seems like it's having troubles moving unlike the other cells. Does anyone have any reasoning behind this?
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #27 on: May 18, 2013, 07:02:48 PM »
TOR Warning for Ellis County, KS


Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED 
TORNADO WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 
601 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013 
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A 
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR... 
  SOUTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS... 
  NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS... 
  NORTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS... 
  SOUTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS... 
 
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT 
 
* AT 559 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A 
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BROWNELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. 
 
  HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 
 
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 
 
  IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. 
           SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL 
           OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. 
           EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. 
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... 
  CEDAR BLUFF...MCCRACKEN...HARGRAVE...RIGA AND ELLIS. 
 
NUMEROUS FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.   
 
THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUS TORNADO WARNINGS THAT   
WERE IN EFFECT.   
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A 
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR 
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT 
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. 
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Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #28 on: May 18, 2013, 07:06:10 PM »
....



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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #29 on: May 18, 2013, 07:10:13 PM »
Quote
532
WWUS53 KDDC 182308
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
608 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

KSC051-135-165-195-182330-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130518T2330Z/
TREGO KS-RUSH KS-NESS KS-ELLIS KS-
608 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ELLIS...
NORTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHWESTERN RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTIES
UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 604 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BROWNELL...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
         SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
         OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CEDAR BLUFF...MCCRACKEN...HARGRAVE AND ELLIS.

AT 603 PM...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A BRIEF RAIN WRAPPED
TORNADO 5 MILES SOUTH OF ELLIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9994 3870 10002 3902 9949 3851 9936
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 238DEG 31KT 3871 9970

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

RUSSELL


 :shock:
« Last Edit: May 18, 2013, 07:20:35 PM by Farmtalk »
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #30 on: May 18, 2013, 07:35:35 PM »
Ryan,

Unfortunately the hook is headed right for you or very close to it.  Hope you have a safe place to go.
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Offline AWL

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #31 on: May 18, 2013, 07:37:59 PM »
Hope Ryan stays safe....looking nasty on radar.

Doug
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #32 on: May 18, 2013, 07:38:36 PM »
Looks real bad. You can see rotation even on his webcam now.
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline AWL

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #33 on: May 18, 2013, 07:40:05 PM »
Quote from: Farmtalk on May 18, 2013, 07:38:36 PM
Looks real bad. You can see rotation even on his webcam now.

Wall cloud on the bottom right?

Doug
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #34 on: May 18, 2013, 07:40:25 PM »
Sure looks like it.  :-(
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #35 on: May 18, 2013, 07:41:12 PM »
Possibly, or the rain shaft.  What's behind the tree?
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Offline AWL

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #36 on: May 18, 2013, 07:46:48 PM »
Looking worse...rotation big time...

Doug
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #37 on: May 18, 2013, 07:47:57 PM »
Just had a report 10 miles southeast of Ellis, or about 7 miles southwest of Hays of a tornado going up and down.
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #38 on: May 18, 2013, 07:48:27 PM »
Wrapping in rain, too. Bad. :shock: :sad:
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #39 on: May 18, 2013, 07:49:35 PM »
DEfinite wall cloud to the right of the tree.  Time to hide, Ryan. Be safe.
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #40 on: May 18, 2013, 07:53:09 PM »
I definitely can see that wall cloud now. Man, batten down the hatches Ryan!
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline AWL

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #41 on: May 18, 2013, 07:58:56 PM »
56mph gust...it's there.

Doug
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #42 on: May 18, 2013, 08:04:32 PM »
If that didn't pass over his house, it was darn close.
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #43 on: May 18, 2013, 08:05:21 PM »
Looks like he made it! Man, that was WAY TOO close for comfort! :shock:
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Joe Fitzwater
Chief Meteorologist for WVNS-TV 59 in Beckley, WV

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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #44 on: May 18, 2013, 08:08:48 PM »
This was the image I saved that I thought might have shown a tornado. I can't tell if it's on the ground or not, but there is definitely a wall cloud there.
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Joe Fitzwater
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Offline Bunty

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #45 on: May 18, 2013, 08:21:28 PM »
Hopefully, the worst is over for Ryan.  Meanwhile, NWS says potential for tornadic supercells will increase between 7pm and 9pm over W OK as wind shear increases while current severe storms approach Oklahoma City.  Oklahoma City live severe weather chat here:  http://www.weatherspotlight.com/?page_id=40

Whew, dew point in the low 70s, heat index in low 90s, feels like in low 100s, and near the east boundary line of tornado watch here until 11pm.  Tomorrow, things could get worse.  Then north Oklahoma like Enid and Stillwater and south to the Oklahoma City area are in a RED risk area for severe weather.  
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #46 on: May 18, 2013, 08:45:41 PM »
Check out the outflow boundaries west of Dodge City.  Storms firing off of them, too.
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Offline cospringswx

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #47 on: May 18, 2013, 09:00:37 PM »
Hi all,

I made it out OK. Big massive cloud was rotating above my house. Tornado sirens sounded for 55 minutes.
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Offline CNYWeather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #48 on: May 18, 2013, 09:02:03 PM »
Ryan just sent this to me.  I did see a 57mph gust at your place too
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Offline Maumelle Weather

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Re: Moderate risk for my area 5-18-13
« Reply #49 on: May 18, 2013, 09:02:50 PM »
Glad you're okay, Ryan. Knew it was close judging by the camera and watching your anemometer.

John
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