Author Topic: Severe Weather Season Part 2 (Read 13309 times)

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #25 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:22:28 PM »

Quote from: IMADreamer on November 07, 2011, 06:20:04 PM

Man it's been an awesome couple hours. November producing big time.

Absolutely. I have a feeling the warned storm will get pushed to the east. The storms to the west appear to have made a right turn and they may well push the warned storm. But it could combine but I hope that doesn't happen!

Farmtalk · « **Reply #26 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:25:59 PM »

If they do combine, that would be one heck of a derecho! I could see that thing bowing bad!

Looks like from looking at VILs and tops that the tornado warned cell is weakening rapidly

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #27 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:31:17 PM »

The derecho composite parameter is only 1-2 in the area of these storms. That is favorable for straight line winds. Oddly it is 4 in Texas which is a high risk.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #28 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:32:57 PM »

That big tornado producer for the day is crossing the front now, won't produce any more. It should get sucked up into the line that is with the cold front and everything should be linear now.

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #29 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:33:45 PM »

Dr Forbes is on TWC doing good analysis.

WeatherHost · « **Reply #30 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:35:07 PM »

Quote

on TWC

What, no movie tonight?

Farmtalk · « **Reply #31 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:36:45 PM »

Quote from: Downlinerz2 on November 07, 2011, 06:31:17 PM

The derecho composite parameter is only 1-2 in the area of these storms. That is favorable for straight line winds. Oddly it is 4 in Texas which is a high risk.

Im doing homework and watching my GR3, so I cant watch TWC (DANG IT!!!!), where did u get those numbers Mark?

This looks like a classic derecho forming to me

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #32 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:38:10 PM »

Quote from: IMADreamer on November 07, 2011, 06:32:57 PM

That big tornado producer for the day is crossing the front now, won't produce any more. It should get sucked up into the line that is with the cold front and everything should be linear now.

You are right I think. But the watch was extended to NE into Kansas and NE Ok.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #33 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:39:02 PM »

Joe, check the mesoanylsis page on the spc site.

Cell north of Seymore, TX is trying to get going, might be worth shifting your radar south.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #34 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:46:04 PM »

I gotta say the dryline was a bit disappointing today, everything happened way up in the warm sector.

I thought maybe that new watch would be a severe watch but I guess they decided the Tor threat was enough just to extend the current watch. I'd still be shocked to see anything up that far north.

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #35 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:46:29 PM »

Boy did I blow it. That cell is not turning right....it turned left because it weakend. I think you are right about south. I was thinking that a tail end charlie down there could flare the strongest because of the previous activity.
ADDED: A chaser had his car flipped over by the tornado.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #36 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:50:12 PM »

Quote from: Downlinerz2 on November 07, 2011, 06:46:29 PM

Boy did I blow it. That cell is not turning right....it turned left because it weakend. I think you are right about south. I was thinking that a tail end charlie down there could flare the strongest because of the previous activity.
ADDED: A chaser had his car flipped over by the tornado.

Holy crap was he hurt?

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #37 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:52:02 PM »

I heard that on TWC and they did not say anything about injuries. Should have mentioned that. I was kicking myself because of that left turn.

I just saw a video on TWC of a tornado taken by the chaser who's car was flipped. That tornado was earlier in the day I think. If you turn on TWC they will surely replay the video.
The tornado was near Tipton if I remember rightly.

Go to weather.com

IMADreamer · « **Reply #38 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:56:06 PM »

That cell north of Seymore, TX is about all that's left for tonight. Everything to the west of it should go linear soon. Taking advantage of that Derecho composite you were talking about earlier. I'm not saying they can't produce but if there's another big tornado left in today it's that one cell.

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #39 on:** November 07, 2011, 06:59:48 PM »

Vidoe of tornado near Tipton, Ok. And apparently there was a 2 funnel tornado in Frederick today. Video shown on TWC. Not on site yet.

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/tornado-damage-oklahoma_2011-11-07?

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #40 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:01:26 PM »

Andy Gabrielson was the chasers name and he was not injured. He is on phone with TWC now and has some small cuts.
They showed video from in car when it flipped.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #41 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:06:55 PM »

geez, he was watching a little too much "storm chasers" on tv. He was way too darn close there. He's lucky.

Farmtalk · « **Reply #42 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:10:15 PM »

Quote from: IMADreamer on November 07, 2011, 06:39:02 PM

Joe, check the mesoanylsis page on the spc site.

Cell north of Seymore, TX is trying to get going, might be worth shifting your radar south.

Sorry, just got back from supper...Thanks for the heads up Jason, that storm is trying to form a comma on radar

Farmtalk · « **Reply #43 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:18:32 PM »

That derecho easing its way towards OKC now has warnings for 65mph

Hmmm...No warning on the Seymour storm now...thats a surprise, it looks strong.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #44 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:22:53 PM »

That cell is trying. It's in pretty favorable conditions.

IMADreamer · « **Reply #45 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:28:23 PM »

Looking ahead to tomorrow the slight risk has been extended just to my county.

Also a hydrologic outlook for heavy rain over the next two days for me. That oughta help the drought situation.

Downlinerz2 · « **Reply #46 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:29:55 PM »

Much less risk with cooler and drier air coming up. Some risk still though.

Farmtalk · « **Reply #47 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:33:11 PM »

Im just waiting for that seymour storm to pop..Hope u all get a good soaking tomorrow Jason

IMADreamer · « **Reply #48 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:38:42 PM »

That storm is just taunting us. lol It will grow an appendage, then fizzle, grown another, fizzle. Just do something! lol

Farmtalk · « **Reply #49 on:** November 07, 2011, 07:40:27 PM »

No kidding! Three times now Ive thought it was going to form an echo and its fizzled out!!!

News:

Author Topic: Severe Weather Season Part 2 (Read 13309 times)