Author Topic: Spring/Summer '18  (Read 23891 times)

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Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #200 on: May 28, 2018, 04:50:32 PM »
That is a heatwave for sure. Bet 100 degree days are rare in Minnesota.
Randy

Offline chief-david

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #201 on: May 28, 2018, 04:54:06 PM »
True. Especially this early.

Copied from a weatherman tweet

Quote
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The Twin Cities hit 100° at 2:16 pm. This is the first 100° day since July 6, 2012. This is only the 2nd time a 100° temperature has been recorded in the Twin Cities in the month of May (106° - May 31, 1934)



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Offline DRoberts

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #202 on: May 28, 2018, 05:26:37 PM »
I am impressed. Thought our 100 on 26 May was noteworthy, but you win the golden thermometer award for this spring.

Offline Jstx

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #203 on: May 28, 2018, 09:44:17 PM »
Y'all should try South Texas (or other regions) lately. A relatively mild winter and early spring gave way to hellacious conditions.
The temps have been in the upper 90-106degF for weeks, with high dewpoints driving the Heat Index even higher. It's going to bump up 4-8 degrees in the next week.
It has been cooling overnight into the upper 70's, but we're creeping into the times when that low will stay in the 80-90's.
The Gulf of Mexico surf temps are in the mid 80's too, so it may be another hot hurricane season around here (after Harvey last fall).

It's not even summer yet, and per the NOAA Climate Table/All Time Records Summary, things tend to peak out in August and September, so it may be a rough ride. May has been running a max temp of 6-12 degF above the normal (1984-2010 per table).
Lots of older and poorer people don't even have A/C, expect the mortality numbers to go way up.

Abnormal and atypical even for down here.

https://www.weather.gov/crp/observations

https://www.weather.gov/media/ewx/climate/ClimateTable-ewx-SanAntonio.pdf


Offline CW2274

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #204 on: May 28, 2018, 10:15:50 PM »
Although not extraordinary this time of year here, we'll be in the upper 100's as the week progresses. I never post about the record cold here, because there never is any, just record heat. How many 115F+ days will we have this year....

Offline chief-david

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #205 on: May 28, 2018, 10:35:06 PM »
drop in temps

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Offline jas340

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #206 on: May 28, 2018, 10:51:28 PM »
It hit 76 F here today in foothills N of Boise. We put the A/C on all day for the first time. I've been sleeping with my heavy down comforter every night. Will have to put it away soon. It is "always" cold and rainy Memorial day weekend. The sun was out all day and the Sun's intensity was too much for us!!!!

Most of my adult life has been lived in Phoenix, AZ area. I've had enough heat for a lifetime!!!!!!
« Last Edit: May 29, 2018, 03:31:15 AM by jas340 »

Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #207 on: May 29, 2018, 01:36:37 AM »
It hit 76 F here today in foothills N of Boise. We put the A/C on all day for the first time.

I have one small window unit I didn't put in this year until just a few days ago after a string of upper 80s and low 90s.  I keep it set for around 78-80 or so and I try to only run it for a few hours in the early evening to dry the air a bit to make sleeping easier.  My bank account isn't fond of running it all day.


Offline DRoberts

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #208 on: May 29, 2018, 08:04:15 AM »
Not to change the subject of heat, which will be the main story this summer I am afraid, but we picked up 2.85" of precip in the 24 hrs ending 6:40 a.m. today. That's nowhere near what some stations in this part of KS have reported (up to 5 inches south of here), but it was a nice rain. that makes 6.36" for May. That is above normal.

Just put up the VP2 Sunday, so it was nice to have some rain and see how it worked. The Davis will be back up to my CoCoRaHS gauge.

Offline Intheswamp

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #209 on: May 29, 2018, 08:43:12 AM »
I've seen no mention of Alberto on here so thought I'd give a few tidbits.  Basically a non-event TS/hurricane-wise for south central Alabama.  I recorded a little over 2.6" of rain from it and high wind here roughly 90 miles inland was recorded at 26mph in the wee hours of this morning.  The path of the storm came more or less directly over us.  I appeared that east Alabama and west Georgia probably got more rain than we did, plus the system in northern Georgia looked pretty intense.  We're still getting very light rain this morning but we have forecasts for more rain today (and for the next several days).  The ground is pretty much saturated so we surely don't need high wind to topple trees, so hopefully no surprise t-storms (though they are in the forecast).  Lost power this morning around 1:30...stayed out long enough for the battery on BeeWeather's laptop to die so I had to reboot this morning.  #-o 

We have a flash flood watch in effect till early this evening...seems like our county is primarily at ground zero for that.  I also see that the Conecuh River south of us by about 40 miles has risen over 12' in the last ten hours...it's predicted to crest just slightly above flood stage (37')...it's currently at 17.28'.

My garden still needs weeding...  :roll:


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Offline Intheswamp

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #210 on: May 29, 2018, 09:03:22 AM »
A few graphs showing when Alberto passed through the neighborhood.
Wind direction is kind of interesting...

2018_AlbertoBaroPressureGraph by Intheswamp, on Flickr

2018_AlbertoRainGraph by Intheswamp, on Flickr

2018_AlbertoWindGraph by Intheswamp, on Flickr

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Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #211 on: May 29, 2018, 03:07:03 PM »
^^  We were supposed to be pretty much wet and windy all day from that.  Predictions were for 3" of rain or so, Flash Flood Watches and Warnings posted etc.

We've had a few passing showers from the bands, but nothing steady (so far).  Even had a few minutes of Sun between them.

Offline Intheswamp

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #212 on: May 29, 2018, 04:42:20 PM »
I think Alberto is pretty much a fizzle.  The sun has been breaking through and shining sporadically all afternoon...hot and humid, well only in the low-80's but 80% humidity tends to make it "interesting".  #-o

Lots of clouds floating around, though...it "looks" like it might do "something"...

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Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #213 on: May 30, 2018, 03:14:14 AM »
CoC almost over me.  Pressure showing 29.13


Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #214 on: May 30, 2018, 05:23:26 AM »
timeanddate.com has a two week projection for weather for your local area.  I don't know where they get their data, but they're showing a significant cool down (60/75) for two weeks out, the week starting 6/10.  Anybody else seeing anything similar on forecast sites you watch?

Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #215 on: May 30, 2018, 07:14:01 AM »
Side note ...  the roughly two inches of rain topped my pool off nicely.


Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #216 on: May 30, 2018, 12:49:07 PM »
Knowing where the center is, roughly 100 miles NNE of me now, I can look up at the clouds and see a definite rotation towards that direction.


Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #217 on: May 30, 2018, 01:51:26 PM »
timeanddate.com has a two week projection for weather for your local area.  I don't know where they get their data, but they're showing a significant cool down (60/75) for two weeks out, the week starting 6/10.  Anybody else seeing anything similar on forecast sites you watch?

NWS is pointing at cooler air for the eastern 2/3 including where you are at. That'd be a nice break. I'll have my hottest May on record by a decent margin.
Joe Fitzwater
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Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #218 on: May 31, 2018, 05:18:37 PM »
Good chance of super cell development, enhanced risk along HW 83 tomorrow runs N to S center of state.  NAM has 4800 J kg locally with dew points near 70° supporting rapid development.  Might have a interesting evening tomorrow.

FSO Discussion:  stretch from
about Valentine to North Platte. There is a good chance for some
severe thunderstorm activity as the surface winds pick up from the
south and advect in some upper 60 to low 70 degree dewpoints into
the region, with the highest values along and east of Highway 83.
Off the surface, winds will be veering from the west from 25 to
50kt which will likely lead to rapid supercell development once
the cap is eroded. Large hail over 2 inches in diameter and severe
wind gusts are possible with initial development, a brief tornado
can never be ruled out.
Randy

Offline ocala

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #219 on: May 31, 2018, 05:31:14 PM »
Knowing where the center is, roughly 100 miles NNE of me now, I can look up at the clouds and see a definite rotation towards that direction.
When ever we get tropical activity down here and I start seeing the rotation of the clouds, man that just gets my heart pumping.
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Offline ocala

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #220 on: May 31, 2018, 05:32:45 PM »
Good chance of super cell development, enhanced risk along HW 83 tomorrow runs N to S center of state.  NAM has 4800 J kg locally with dew points near 70° supporting rapid development.  Might have a interesting evening tomorrow.

FSO Discussion:  stretch from
about Valentine to North Platte. There is a good chance for some
severe thunderstorm activity as the surface winds pick up from the
south and advect in some upper 60 to low 70 degree dewpoints into
the region, with the highest values along and east of Highway 83.
Off the surface, winds will be veering from the west from 25 to
50kt which will likely lead to rapid supercell development once
the cap is eroded. Large hail over 2 inches in diameter and severe
wind gusts are possible with initial development, a brief tornado
can never be ruled out.
Very interesting indeed!
Now that I have my geography straight I'll be checking in on ya.
The blues had a baby and they named it Rock & Roll

Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #221 on: May 31, 2018, 05:34:31 PM »
I'm havin' one tonight.  Boomers rollin' in.

I hate boomers.


Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #222 on: May 31, 2018, 06:03:02 PM »
Good chance of super cell development, enhanced risk along HW 83 tomorrow runs N to S center of state.  NAM has 4800 J kg locally with dew points near 70° supporting rapid development.  Might have a interesting evening tomorrow.

FSO Discussion:  stretch from
about Valentine to North Platte. There is a good chance for some
severe thunderstorm activity as the surface winds pick up from the
south and advect in some upper 60 to low 70 degree dewpoints into
the region, with the highest values along and east of Highway 83.
Off the surface, winds will be veering from the west from 25 to
50kt which will likely lead to rapid supercell development once
the cap is eroded. Large hail over 2 inches in diameter and severe
wind gusts are possible with initial development, a brief tornado
can never be ruled out.
Very interesting indeed!
Now that I have my geography straight I'll be checking in on ya.

LOL, tomorrow night they are saying...
Randy

Offline ValentineWeather

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #223 on: May 31, 2018, 06:12:42 PM »
Did you guys hear we may have the lowest tornado output in 1/2 century or more at current trend. Don't remember exact numbers but we are way down and its been a trend over last decade of less tornado activity. 
Randy

Offline CW2274

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Re: Spring/Summer '18
« Reply #224 on: May 31, 2018, 06:33:31 PM »
Did you guys hear we may have the lowest tornado output in 1/2 century or more at current trend. Don't remember exact numbers but we are way down and its been a trend over last decade of less tornado activity.
I had not, but recent trend certainly supports it...so far. The last really active seasons I remember was 2011 when the EF5 took out Joplin, and the EF4 through Tuscaloosa. Then in 2013, with the EF5 in Moore (again) and EF3 El Reno tornado which actually had doppler confirmed EF5 winds, just no damage to support the rating.
Been very quite of late.

 

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