Author Topic: Spring/Summer '19 (Read 25020 times)

Subzero · « **Reply #225 on:** June 16, 2019, 11:20:09 PM »

"By early Friday morning the flow
aloft will change southwesterly as longwave trough digs into the
Rockies and Intermountain West. Lee cyclogenesis is forecast in
the Northern Plains Thursday night. The low pressure system will
likely lift toward the northeast into the southeastern Canadian
Prairies and northwest Ontario by Saturday morning. Deterministic
and ensemble models differ in the details, but seem to have good
agreement in the placement of the trough and eventual eastward
progression. Southwesterly return flow is possible ahead of the
system, which may support strong to severe thunderstorms Friday
afternoon and evening and perhaps again Saturday.

Temperatures will remain near to below normal for the long term
period with afternoon highs in the middle 60s to middle 70s and
overnight lows in the 40s and low 50s."

CW2274 · « **Reply #226 on:** June 17, 2019, 03:50:44 PM »

I made reference to this a month or so ago, but as I watch another short wave dig through the SW like it's March (with yet another this weekend), it's looking more and more like our sub-tropical high isn't going to set up shop in the four corners any time soon. We're "technically" in monsoon season now, although it really doesn't get here till around the 4th of July, but if this long term pattern doesn't change soon, it could be a very miserable, dry summer down here.

ValentineWeather · « **Reply #227 on:** June 17, 2019, 05:08:44 PM »

Quote from: CW2274 on June 17, 2019, 03:50:44 PM

We're "technically" in monsoon season now, although it really doesn't get here till around the 4th of July, but if this long term pattern doesn't change soon, it could be a very miserable, dry summer down here.

Up in Page, you could set the calendar with first thunderstorms breaking out and independence day and never be off by more than 1 or 2 days.
I thought it was assinine when they decided to set an artificial monsoon date mid-June usually the driest and hottest time of year. Maybe once a decade it starts that early, they should go back to the 3 dewpoint days in a row over 55 for Phoenix as the official start.

CW2274 · « **Reply #228 on:** June 17, 2019, 09:18:51 PM »

Quote from: ValentineWeather on June 17, 2019, 05:08:44 PM

Quote from: CW2274 on June 17, 2019, 03:50:44 PM
We're "technically" in monsoon season now, although it really doesn't get here till around the 4th of July, but if this long term pattern doesn't change soon, it could be a very miserable, dry summer down here.
I thought it was assinine when they decided to set an artificial monsoon date mid-June usually the driest and hottest time of year. Maybe once a decade it starts that early, they should go back to the 3 dewpoint days in a row over 55 for Phoenix as the official start.

It was done to appease non locals so they'd have an "idea" when the t-storm season might start. I though it was/is stupid as well. Here we use, well use to use, a 3 day average of a 54F dew to signal the start of the monsoon. Why PHX uses 55F, dunno.

Subzero · « **Reply #229 on:** June 19, 2019, 11:37:13 AM »

Looks like the pattern will change for most of the US compared to what it was this past week, more flooding and storms for my area.

WeatherHost · « **Reply #230 on:** June 19, 2019, 05:19:05 PM »

Rolling Thunder.

Not the bike parade, the stuff in the storm clouds that carries on for a minute or more as it wanders overhead.

CW2274 · « **Reply #231 on:** June 19, 2019, 06:43:21 PM »

Quote from: WeatherHost on June 19, 2019, 05:19:05 PM

Rolling Thunder.

Not the bike parade, the stuff in the storm clouds that carries on for a minute or more as it wanders overhead.

No idea about your topography but the valley here is pretty much surrounded by three mountain chains and I've found that CC lighting is much more "echoey" compared to CG strikes.
Whether the topo here is responsible or that's just the way it is....

chief-david · « **Reply #232 on:** June 20, 2019, 07:15:13 PM »

Andy Thompson has a storm heading his way. Already dropped on tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

Subzero · « **Reply #233 on:** June 20, 2019, 07:18:13 PM »

Yeah I'm watching them, they look decently organized right now.

chief-david · « **Reply #234 on:** June 20, 2019, 08:00:04 PM »

Andy sent me a message that he was having golf ball hail

Subzero · « **Reply #235 on:** June 20, 2019, 08:14:54 PM »

Yeah those storms are producing atleast Tennis ball sized hail though, they look pretty nasty.

ValentineWeather · « **Reply #236 on:** June 20, 2019, 10:12:06 PM »

Under a tornado watch tonight.
Little off subject weather cam caught a deer walking by while I was putting up house numbers. This new neighborhood on the edge of town is infested with whitetails which I'm okay with. I see them feeding in neighbors yards all the time, deer sitings are at least a couple of times a day.
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Subzero · « **Reply #237 on:** June 20, 2019, 10:19:53 PM »

Atleast they have some place to feast

DRoberts · « **Reply #238 on:** June 21, 2019, 01:24:54 AM »

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Nice bow on this one. North of me just a few miles. Thankfully.

NWS HSI

CW2274 · « **Reply #239 on:** June 21, 2019, 01:36:04 AM »

Very. You can see the gust front here as the leading thin green line on this one.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=UEX-N0Q-1-24

WeatherHost · « **Reply #240 on:** June 21, 2019, 09:53:54 AM »

I hate it when my area is in an increasing risk area. Early yesterday, the risk was Marginal. Late yesterday they upgraded to Slight. Now this morning they've cranked it up again to Enhanced. Never a good sign.

WeatherHost · « **Reply #241 on:** June 21, 2019, 02:41:15 PM »

And now they've expanded the Enhanced again to cover a much wider area.

Bunty · « **Reply #242 on:** June 21, 2019, 06:03:27 PM »

Hottest day of year here in Oklahoma came with high heat index advisory at my weather station. There is a flood watch out for this weekend. Hopefully, thunderstorms won't get too severe:

WeatherHost · « **Reply #243 on:** June 21, 2019, 08:49:47 PM »

0516 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE HEATH 37.06N 88.77W
06/21/2019 MCCRACKEN KY OTHER FEDERAL

BARKLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT TEMPORARY AIRPORT
TOWER TRAILER SHIFTED OFF FOUNDATION. TIME
ESTIMATED.

OK, there's one you don't see every day.

ocala · « **Reply #244 on:** June 22, 2019, 07:02:21 AM »

DP's flirting with 80 yesterday.
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Subzero · « **Reply #245 on:** June 22, 2019, 12:39:15 PM »

Above normal temperatures for my area from June 29th to July 5th, oh boy

WeatherHost · « **Reply #246 on:** June 26, 2019, 12:44:22 PM »

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More weirdness

pekkie · « **Reply #247 on:** June 26, 2019, 12:50:14 PM »

In these days in Italy there is an exceptional heat wave. It is possible that it reaches up to 40 ° C / 104 Fahrenheit
In doing so he exceeds the 2003 record reached 37 ° C / 98.6 Fahrenheit.
Already next week the heat will return to normal.

Yesterday in my locality 37 ° C were touched.
Today they surely surpass each other.

ValentineWeather · « **Reply #248 on:** June 26, 2019, 06:26:57 PM »

Quote from: pekkie on June 26, 2019, 12:50:14 PM

In these days in Italy there is an exceptional heat wave. It is possible that it reaches up to 40 ° C / 104 Fahrenheit
In doing so he exceeds the 2003 record reached 37 ° C / 98.6 Fahrenheit.
Already next week the heat will return to normal.

Yesterday in my locality 37 ° C were touched.
Today they surely surpass each other.

What's the dewpoint looking like at those temperatures? Do people normally have air conditioning? Makes a big difference in what people are accustomed. 37C is no big deal for many here in states but most have AC too.

Subzero · « **Reply #249 on:** June 26, 2019, 11:46:39 PM »

Quote from: pekkie on June 26, 2019, 12:50:14 PM

In these days in Italy there is an exceptional heat wave. It is possible that it reaches up to 40 ° C / 104 Fahrenheit
In doing so he exceeds the 2003 record reached 37 ° C / 98.6 Fahrenheit.
Already next week the heat will return to normal.

Yesterday in my locality 37 ° C were touched.
Today they surely surpass each other.

That is nuts! Hope you can stay cool and hydrated my friend.

News:

Author Topic: Spring/Summer '19 (Read 25020 times)