General Weather/Earth Sciences Topics > Long-Range U.S. Forecasts
OrganicForecasting
jdrenken:
--- Quote from: Old Tele man on July 23, 2018, 05:42:01 PM ---Actually the name/title is intriguing, as I personally have absolutely NO idea what OrganicForecasting is. GOOGLED it, but really didn't help. So, I'll just hang around and listen (metaphorically speaking) to your chatter...some weather eavesdropping.
--- End quote ---
Organicforecasting is another way of utilizing teleconnection forecasting techniques and applying them to the CONUS. Perfect example ia how the Bering Sea Rule combines the WPO/EPO & PNA regions to get a 17-21 day lead time. Look up Wave 5 pattern and NCAR for an introduction besides my paper on the BSR & EAR.
Lately I've been forecasting pattern recognition techniques using the changes of the daily Southern Oscillation Index.
A series of peer review papers is our goal for all methods of organicforecasting.
OSNW3:
I have a couple ongoing Bering Sea Rule projects that are on the Internet.
1. Day 19-24 Daily 2mT & MSLP Change (Direct Link)
2. Extension via RRWT & CPC 6 to 10 Day Analogs Lead (Direct Link)
3. Spatial Correlation metric (Direct Link)
Questions or comments please let me know!
WXMal4:
or is it analog forecasting?
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