Currently a low over northern Mississippi is forecasted to move SE to the GOM.
Conditions are favorable for development but not until later in the week.
TPC has it at 40%. Very strange genesis if it does develop.
Stay tuned.
Been a weathernut to one degree or another for many decades, with a particular interest in tropical WX due to living on or near the southern Texas coast [and as a mariner and sailor], don't remember ever seeing anything like this one before.
Same here. Obviously conditions are progged for this low to find a favorable environment in the Gulf to take on tropical characteristics, then it just as well have crossed the Atlantic.
Yep, continents, oceans, TCs, parts is parts.
NHC is on it:
"ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast
to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a
broad area of low pressure is expected to form on Wednesday.
Environmental and ocean conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week while the low moves slowly westward over northern Gulf
of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system has the potential
to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern
U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the
rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather
forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests
along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
"
"000
AXNT20 KNHC 081736
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
136 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019
...
GULF OF MEXICO...
A surface trough extends over the NE Gulf of Mexico from the
Florida Big Bend to 26N84W. Scattered showers and tstorms are seen
from 25N-29N, east of 85W. The remainder of the Gulf is under
weak surface ridging with gentle winds.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form on Wednesday in
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A tropical depression is likely
to form by the end of the week while the low moves slowly westward
over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Winds to near gale force are
expected in the northern Gulf of Mexico later this week along
with squally weather and high seas, regardless of tropical cyclone
formation. If the system were to become a tropical storm, then
higher winds and seas would occur. Heavy rainfall is possible
along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later
this week. Interests along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas
coast to the western Florida peninsula should monitor the progress
of this system.
"