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Author Topic: Will Strong Winter Lead to Nasty Severe Weather Season?  (Read 849 times)
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HailHunter
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« on: February 08, 2010, 05:17:32 PM »

For those out there that know far more about the specifics of meteorology than I do, I have a question. With this stronger than average Winter pattern we have seen develop over the last several weeks, if it holds together through March and April (possibly even May) would that, in turn, cause thunderstorms to be stronger this Spring if the Arctic fronts are still as stout while slamming into 60-70-80 degree weather along the Gulf states?

I know my theory is that Autumn severe thunderstorms are often more violent because it is colder, more powerful fronts that hit the air that has warmed above seasonal normals during that time of year. However, wouldn't the same hold true inverted if stronger than average cold fronts hit typical Spring air?
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blackjack52
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2010, 06:19:34 PM »

I've noticed here that Spring storms are stronger and more frequent. Also, new research suggest an increase in tornadic activity when there's a La Nina yr, or a switch from El to La in the same season, like '88, '99. We started El last summer I think. Haven't checked Dec '09/ Jan '10 trend.
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WeatherHost
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2010, 06:28:46 PM »

I'm hoping it'll burn the energy out now and lead to a mild, quiet spring and summer.

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Chris H.
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2010, 10:46:15 PM »

I've noticed here that Spring storms are stronger and more frequent. Also, new research suggest an increase in tornadic activity when there's a La Nina yr, or a switch from El to La in the same season, like '88, '99. We started El last summer I think. Haven't checked Dec '09/ Jan '10 trend.

It did start last summer, though mid-lats continued well into June and July, just not as frequent as they were during the spring. It's nothing to be real concerned about- though in 2007 we came out out a hellish El Nino winter and we had some pretty interesting weather develop across the plains.
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