Storms moving in.

[W Thomas]

Dan,
Glad it wasn't as bad as originally thought!  Hopefully the heavy rains will not cause you much trouble.

I had frost on the pumpkin here in my little part of Ole Virginny this morning!

[DanS]

brrrrrr.  Got a chill that ran down my neck reading that about the frost on your pumpkin. Well on the bright side the grass mowing should be slowing down with weather like that.  
I think (hope and pray) we're all set and ready if the storms do hit here and dump on us.

[Mark / Ohio]

brrrrrr.  Got a chill that ran down my neck reading that about the frost on your pumpkin. ...

Nah, I bet that chill is due to it not making 80F today in your neighborhood.  I don't recall ever seeing your temp that low before.   

[DanS]

Actually, back in 1999, I remember one morning getting ready to go to work (here in Chiang Mai) and seeing the thermometer reading 54F. That's the lowest I've seen and it quickly shot back up into the 80's after the sun got up. It usually dips to the 70's here almost every night (briefly). 

[Mark / Ohio]

Well I guess you do then get a shot of cooler air once in awhile.

I see in your forecast Sunday it's going down to -1766F.  That will be a nasty day for you.   

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=18.765%2C98.976

Looks like WeatherUnderground has a burp in their forecast data.   



What's in the building in your Weather cam that has the arched windows?  Apartments or hotel?

[DanS]

Yeah I see that too, the forecast hick-up in WU. One hell of a cold front coming. My wx page forecast for Sunday shows 91F.

That's a condominium down the road with the arched windows. That's the only shot from here I can take with the webcam that shows some area with at least a very small corner with sky. I need to look into wireless cams so I can put one facing north at more sky.

[DanS]

Anyone planning a trip to the Philippines or S/E Asia soon might want to reconsider. Hurricane 'Parma' was just upgraded to a cat.4 and one of the tropical storms behind it, 'Melor', just bumped up to a cat.1. I really feel for Manila and it's surrounding towns. They're still recovering from a hurricane a couple days ago where many people were killed and now these are closing in.

Now 'Melor' is a category 3 with 'Parma' hanging on to it's cat. 4 status. Both are now projected to hit the Taiwan, Southern China coast. Double whammy!  

Now 'Melor' is at cat. 4. Both hurricanes/typhoons are at cat. 4 now and still heading toward Southern China.

[DanS]

Now "Parma" has cleared Manila and has made a westerly turn. 180 degrees direction heading opposite from the forecasted direction, easterly. Now that it's heading our way we can only hope it continues to dissipate and not gain strength being back over water again. Nasty category 5, "Melor" appears to be altering it's direction from the projected as well. I'm closely watching both. 

[SlowModem]

Now "Parma" has cleared Manila and has made a westerly turn. 180 degrees direction heading opposite from the forecasted direction, easterly. Now that it's heading our way we can only hope it continues to dissipate and not gain strength being back over water again. Nasty category 5, "Melor" appears to be altering it's direction from the projected as well. I'm closely watching both. 

Not to make light of the subject, but you'd make a great play-by-play guy.  You describe things very well.   

Hang in there!  We're all pullin' for ya!   

[DanS]

Not to make light of the subject, but you'd make a great play-by-play guy.  You describe things very well.  

Hang in there!  We're all pullin' for ya!  

Thanks. Could you try "pullin'" from the other direction to see if that helps?  

[Mark / Ohio]

On the bright side it looks like you'll be toasty and warm for the next week while your wet. 

[DanS]

We get the "warm and toasty" regardless. The cloud cover from the storm(s) will help to lower that though.

[WeatherHost]

While on the other side of the world, Grace is wandering towards the British Isles.

[DanS]

While on the other side of the world, Grace is wandering towards the British Isles.

Looks like everyone's getting in on some action.

[Mark / Ohio]

I see Parma a still playing sit and spin with little change expected at least through midweek.

I can only imagine being on an island under that day after day with pounding rain and wind.   

[Downlinerz2]

I can only imagine being on an island under that day after day with pounding rain and wind.   

   I had an Uncle who was a SeaBee  in World War ll.  One of his most vivid memories, even more than being shot at all the time, was the pouring rain and heat.
I cannot imagine what it would be like to have to live constantly in the mud, rain, and heat .  Heat, sweat, mud, bugs and oh don't forget the Japanese!
    Mark

[DanS]

 ... and mosquito's!! I hate those friggin' things.

[Mark / Ohio]

....and oh don't forget the Japanese!
    Mark

Yes, back in those days they were not quite so friendly.  

My uncle is a Vietnam Marine vet.  He's been dealing with those memories like that and much worse ever since too.  

[blackjack52]

I guess it's because of the upper/lower winds in that region, but it always seems that the typhoons in those parts are known for drastic course changes.

[DanS]

I guess that's the reason also, upper/lower winds. Just finished checking out the tracking for 'Parma' and I see it did a 180 degree turn around, heading from north to south. Storm chasers getting chased.

[DanS]

Persistant Parma! I felt relieved after she(?) passed through the Philippines and kept heading north but I guess she missed a turn along the way. Now she's doubled back, slammed the Philippines again and, this time found the turn she missed toward us and heading our way. This reminds me of hurricane Ivan (Sept.2004) that came in the southern U.S. and made several abrupt turns and then headed up north as a depression only to unleash over 40 tornado's in Virginia alone, one which tore or house apart. I still have everything secured and ready from Parma's first passing so we won't be caught off guard. This one has been a tropical depression up to a cat. 4 hurricane and right now down to a tropical storm. Still some ocean ahead to pass over and time to see what other surprises she has in store (like turn somewhere else?? ).

[SlowModem]

   That's a little bit too much excitement!   

[DanS]

Ever since I was a little brat I've always heard people describing a tornado they saw and always wanted to see one myself. They sounded so cool. Well, hurricane Ivan, in 2004, granted my wish and that was enough to satisfy my curiosity. Not only did I get to see one but directly passing over head. I count my blessings that we weren't hurt. Amazing, but once was enough. I'm paying very close attention to "Parma" as she nears but will feel safer in this house if things get "out of hand" like before.

[SoMDWx]

Seemingly very strange this year to see the Pacific get slammed with so many storms yet the US has yet to see anything!

[SLOweather]

Seemingly very strange this year to see the Pacific get slammed with so many storms yet the US has yet to see anything!

We're supposed to be getting ours along the Pacific coast this week.

"FOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FOCUS CONTINUES TO CENTER ON 
  SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORMTHAT WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE WEST
  COAST. INITIAL LOOK AT 12Z MODELS STILL INDICATE THE AREA SHOULD
  RECEIVE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN 
  PLACE...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE/UPPER JET/STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS...TO
  BRING THE DISTRICT QUITE THE SOAKING...ESPECIALLY OVER SLO/SBA 
  COUNTIES. WILL PROVIDE MORE DETAILS WITH THE AFTERNOON DISCUSSION. "

We're in "SLO" county... (San Luis Obispo)

This storm forecast is the inverse of what we usually see for the beginning of the rainy season here. Usually, it starts out two weeks out with a big-a$$ storm forecast that peters out to nothing. This one started out small, and now that it's almost here, the NWS is calling for a drencher (1-2" coast, 2-4" mountains) with advisory level winds.

We haven't had rain to speak of here in months, since 5 June 2009. Between the drought and the various burn areas around the state, it's going to be an interesting week. This time of year, I expect no runoff from the first inch or more. I dunno what to expect if we get 2 or more inches...