Author Topic: Spring/Summer '19  (Read 2451 times)

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Offline Bunty

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #75 on: April 17, 2019, 04:15:33 PM »
Unique change in severe weather forecast for central Oklahoma Wednesday morning. The change is in the way the low is ejecting into the plains will result in nearly guaranteed severe storm development across NW Oklahoma and S & E Oklahoma, leaving a potential hole in the middle of Oklahoma.  Tuesday night, Aaron Tuttle was on Facebook saying he saw weakness in the model data over central Oklahoma and said the change would likely happen and boasted that it did this morning as pictured below.

Also the 2nd home page using modified AltDashboard 6.81 at http://stillwaterweather.com/wx/2ndhome.php

Offline CW2274

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #76 on: April 17, 2019, 05:50:20 PM »
Unique change in severe weather forecast for central Oklahoma Wednesday morning. The change is in the way the low is ejecting into the plains will result in nearly guaranteed severe storm development across NW Oklahoma and S & E Oklahoma, leaving a potential hole in the middle of Oklahoma.  Tuesday night, Aaron Tuttle was on Facebook saying he saw weakness in the model data over central Oklahoma and said the change would likely happen and boasted that it did this morning as pictured below.

Well the "hole" is for the wind and hail threat, however, the tornado threat encompasses that.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Offline andyk1

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #77 on: April 18, 2019, 10:38:09 PM »
An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight
Severe thunderstorms capable of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging gusts are possible across portions of the Mid South today through the early evening. A strong tornado is possible from the confluence of the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers southward into parts of northern Mississippi and northwest Alabama.


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Oh goody.

If you dig a little deeper in NOAA's site you'll see we are at the end of the suns 11 year cycle and returning to milder season. When that will starts I am wondering. Where I am from, we are on track for normal rainfall and are at about 102% of normal. Hopefully a milder summer.

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #78 on: April 19, 2019, 06:23:49 PM »
Normal average precipitation for county
March: 1.93"
April :  2.32"

Precipitation Received to Date (Reported to CoCoRaHS)
March and April: 1.63"
Below average to date: 2.62"

I am not liking what I see, though it is early to reach any conclusions.

Offline CW2274

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #79 on: April 19, 2019, 06:36:37 PM »
Yup, been to 98F and 2% humidity today. Winter has obviously taken a hike. [tup]

Offline andyk1

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #80 on: April 19, 2019, 09:07:43 PM »
Where are you seeing this?

Offline CW2274

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #81 on: April 19, 2019, 10:39:46 PM »
Where are you seeing this?
Tucson.

Offline andyk1

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #82 on: April 20, 2019, 03:03:24 AM »
I read California filled up most of it's reservoirs to capacity this past winter alone. First time since 2011. They have had a rough couple last few years.

Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #83 on: April 20, 2019, 06:35:15 AM »
Precip ABOVE normal

Jan 1.10
Feb 6.51
Mar 2.71
Apr 2.27 (So Far)

Total Precip:

Jan  4.78
Feb  10.42
Mar  6.64
Apr  5.14



Don't talk to me about not enough rain!!!!   I'll be grumbling about it by August probably.



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Offline DRoberts

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #84 on: April 20, 2019, 08:15:09 AM »
Precip ABOVE normal

Jan 1.10
Feb 6.51
Mar 2.71
Apr 2.27 (So Far)

Total Precip:

Jan  4.78
Feb  10.42
Mar  6.64
Apr  5.14



Don't talk to me about not enough rain!!!!   I'll be grumbling about it by August probably.

Feast or famine. I just don't enjoy the famine at all.

Offline andyk1

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #85 on: April 20, 2019, 09:08:16 PM »
Wow Dr Robert's. I am from Oklahoma and surprised that your below normal. Having watched the weather in the Midwest I remember seeing you in Kansas having a lot more severe weather than we have had South of you. I know Wichita would get the storm systems heading north of us and building in intensity as they went by us. We are also below normal in severe weather such as Tornado's. We have had some but nowhere as severe as other parts of the country.

Offline DRoberts

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Re: Spring/Summer '19
« Reply #86 on: April 21, 2019, 09:30:09 PM »
 Well, that was stimulating. A bit of a surprise severe thunderstorm. Gust 61 mph on the VP2 and blowing dust. Visibility 1/8 mile for bit. Nasty stuff.

Not much rain, maybe a few hundredths, but thankfully no hail.

 

anything