Two weeks ago I mentioned in another thread that a large regional newspaper ran a front page story about the Weather Underground that featured yours truly (
http://www.wxforum.net/index.php?topic=1845.0). I mentioned that I would wait about two weeks to determine what impact the story had on the number of hits my site received. Well, it has been two weeks to the day, and it appears that the number of hits to my site has reached pseudo steady state, so here's my report for those who are interested:
We often wonder what impact a news story featuring our web sites might have on the number of hits our sites receive. Obviously there are many factors involved: factors that marketing experts and consultants spend a lot of time and money researching. I won't attempt to address those factors, but here's my story.
On Saturday, July 12 The Flint Journal ran a front page lead story about the Weather Underground that featured yours truly for local interest. Although the story's focus was the Weather Underground, the article gave me much more coverage than I anticipated. The story began on Page A1 in an 8-1/2 by 11-1/2 inch blue panel with lightning in the background. Inside it was a 7 by 5 inch photo of me at my station's sensor suite. The story ended on Page A2 inside a 7 by 7-1/2 inch panel. That’s a total of
more than 1 square foot of prime journalism real estate on Pages A1 and A2! My web site's URL was listed twice: inside a 1.75 by 0.75 inch colored box on Page 1 and mentioned again on Page 2. The full story (with the same blue panels and photo) also appeared on two websites. Here's a link to one of them:
http://www.mlive.com/flintjournal/index.ssf/2008/07/kettering_mathematician_kevin.htmlThe full story ran again a week later in The Burton News newspaper, which is a section inserted into the Sunday Flint Journal specific to Burton subscribers. It included the same photo already mentioned, but also included a quote of mine in a large inset. The other difference was that this time the paragraphs were rearranged to highlight me (local interest story) before highlighting the WU. Then on Monday, The Burton News (the same section that appeared in Sunday’s Flint Journal) went out to subscribers of the Flint Journal in Burton. So the story appeared in full in three printed editions and also appeared in full on the newspaper's web site.
Needless to say,
I never dreamed my site would ever get so much exposure!A natural question is, "
What is that paper's readership?" According to its own web site:
The Flint Journal is circulated to homes in Genesee, Lapeer, Oakland, Livingston, Shiawassee,
Saginaw and Tuscola counties. Daily circulation is 83,814 with daily readership of 174,620.
Sunday circulation is 101,590 with readership of 227,679.
Source: Audit Bureau of Circulation: December 2004; Scarborough Research 2005
That's a lot of publicity for my site! So how did it affect the number of
unique personal visits (PVs, not just page hits) to my web site?
In the month before the story appeared: 1) my PVs were down and I was averaging only about 10 unique PVs daily, and 2) on usaweatherfinder.com's hit counter, my rank fluctuated from around 102 to 106. After the appearance of the front page story, my rank rose to 28, and the number of unique PVs to my weather site went as follows:
Day Unique PVs Conditions
------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 199 front page A1 lead story appeared (Saturday)
1 75 very nice, low humidity
2 48 very nice, low humidity
3 71 storms in area, WU down in evening
4 91 hot, severe storms abound, intense lightning, heavy rain, small hail
5 43 hot & humid, storms north and east but not here
6 35 warm & humid but calm, no storms around
7 27 normal temp & muggy, much rain, no storms (Saturday)
8 27 normal temp & muggy, no storms (paper re-ran story in Sunday's edition-Burton section)
9 28 normal temp & muggy, no storms (same section from Sunday delivered in Burton)
10 32 normal temp & muggy, brief t-storm in early evening with light rain. Stronger storms further north.
11 24 sunny, low humidity, beautiful day
12 18 sunny, low humidity, beautiful day
13 22 sunny, low humidity, beautiful day
14 25 cloudy a.m., turned sunny after noon, low humidity, beautiful (Saturday)
There are factors that result in the number of unique PVs being undercounted. For example, as I understand it hits from my workplace, which comprises about 200 employees and a couple thousand students, count as only one unique personal visit per day even if many people visit my web site from different locations on campus. The same is probably true of many other offices and companies which connect to the Internet via one IP address.
So despite the newspaper’s readership of 200,000 give or take, despite the article’s being a lead story taking up more than half of page A1, and despite the article’s appearing in print three times and on the web, it seems that all that publicity has increased the number of unique personal visits to my site from roughly 10 to 25 daily. Nevertheless, my “15 minutes of fame” didn’t, in my opinion, result in a substantial (sustained) increase in visits to my site. You might say, “But the PVs more than doubled.” True, but relatively speaking that isn’t substantial in this case. For example, if PVs to my site had increased from, say 100 to 250 daily, that would be statistically significiant, but if PVs to my site had increased from 4 to 10 daily, that would not be statistically significiant. Likewise, seeing an increase from 10 to 25 PVs daily is not statistically significiant considering the amount of exposure my site received. So to those of you who regularly receive 50, 100, 200, 300,…, 600 or more unique personal visits daily:
I tip my hat to you! How do you do it?I
think it was Chris (SLOweather) who has suggested that short but periodic citations in the news tend to produce more repeat visitors than one big story would. I suspect that’s probably true. Of course, some people probably just don’t care for my site. Perhaps people aren’t as interested in the weather as we enthusiasts think. Perhaps interest in the weather and in weather web sites depends more on demographics (economic status, educational background, upbringing, etc.) than we might think.
Nevertheless, I''m thrilled to have had the story!
It has increased the number of PVs to my site about as much as I expected (but not as much as I had hoped). It will also give us something interesting to add to this year's Christmas letter.
Regards,
Kevin...