Author Topic: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today  (Read 2145 times)

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Offline Farmtalk

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Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« on: April 15, 2012, 10:48:09 AM »
The SPC has issued a slight risk from the Gulf Coast all the way up to the upper part of Michigan and a moderate risk for southeastern Minnesota, western Wisconsin, and northeastern Iowa.

That moderate area has 15% tornado, 45% wind, and 30% hail..Still some pretty high numbers.
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2012, 11:42:10 AM »
There are unfortunately some fairly sizable towns in that hatched area. 
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2012, 12:08:50 PM »
Yeah to say a few in or nearby that moderate area: Minneapolis, Eau-Claire, Davenport, and St. Paul :-(
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Offline Aardvark

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2012, 12:11:17 PM »
I better get my laundry done early then, :roll:
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Offline G2003

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #4 on: April 15, 2012, 12:25:31 PM »
Supposed to reach the Chicago area this evening. Hoping it's not too bad. We got storms overnight last night that left us with nearly 2 inches of rain in some areas.

Offline chief-david

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2012, 12:55:28 PM »
yep, moderate chance of storms here. Hope people are ready.  

Some are building from Eau clare to Wilmar to Sioux Falls, moving north.

It is humid, but not overly humid  dp of 57 and rising



If the clouds break up, and the sun pops out, then we are in trouble.

then in the 40's tomorrow-and our first track meet
« Last Edit: April 15, 2012, 01:00:21 PM by chief-david »
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #6 on: April 15, 2012, 01:44:02 PM »
Just realize Karx radar is down for dual pol upgrade.  Not good.
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #7 on: April 15, 2012, 02:05:38 PM »
Just realize Karx radar is down for dual pol upgrade.  Not good.

Wow bad timing ](*,) ](*,) ](*,)
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Offline BigOkie

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #8 on: April 15, 2012, 04:16:52 PM »
Just realize Karx radar is down for dual pol upgrade.  Not good.

Wow bad timing ](*,) ](*,) ](*,)

Pretty sure they base the upgrade date on when they think severe weather will be less likely.  Typically, this kind of weather pattern doesn't appear this early that far north into Wisconsin.  Probably the same reason why the KINX (Tulsa/Inola) dual pol upgrade isn't scheduled until September.


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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2012, 04:22:35 PM »
Do you or anyone else know how long it takes for the dual pol upgrade to complete??
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Offline G2003

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #10 on: April 15, 2012, 06:49:41 PM »
Do you or anyone else know how long it takes for the dual pol upgrade to complete??
Our local NWS office got the upgrade last year I believe. I'm pretty sure it took at least several days, possibly even a week.

Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #11 on: April 15, 2012, 06:52:30 PM »
I have not seen this dual pol radar yet...Could someone give me a link to one of those radars??
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #12 on: April 15, 2012, 07:09:29 PM »
Do you or anyone else know how long it takes for the dual pol upgrade to complete??

It took NWS ST. Louis about two weeks.  I don't think there are any free public feeds at this point.  Dual Pol is pretty neat though.  Hopefully there is something free in the near future, or something I don't know about yet.  lol

BTW we are under a tornado watch now.  I under stand it but I'm not sure I'd have pulled the trigger on it.  We did just get a nice downpour with the main line an hour or so away still but nothing is impressive at all.

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Offline neondesert

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #13 on: April 15, 2012, 07:17:34 PM »
Do you or anyone else know how long it takes for the dual pol upgrade to complete??
KESX took about about 11 days to complete.

Also, here's a page that might interest you.  It contains Dual-Pol training modules for meteorologists and non-meteorologists.

http://wdtb.noaa.gov/courses/dualpol/Outreach/index.html#nonmets

Larry
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Offline chief-david

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #14 on: April 15, 2012, 07:37:23 PM »
We are under a Tornado watch in MPLS.

I liked the people on tv. Talked about the storms being too close together to let the cold air in.

It has been cloudy here most of the day.  That may have saved us.

We will get something-hopefully we can say-it could have been worse.
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #15 on: April 15, 2012, 07:38:35 PM »
We are under a Tornado watch in MPLS.

I liked the people on tv. Talked about the storms being too close together to let the cold air in.

It has been cloudy here most of the day.  That may have saved us.

We will get something-hopefully we can say-it could have been worse.

I've been wanting to call bust on the moderate risk up your way all day but I keep thinking it's early still.  However as we approach seven it's not.  The clouds up there definitely kept things from going nuts.
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #16 on: April 15, 2012, 07:59:15 PM »
This one is for me!

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
647 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  NORTH CENTRAL PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 644 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOUISIANA...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...MINOR TREE DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER
           BROKEN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PITTSFIELD...PIKE...ATLAS...BARRY...GRIGGSVILLE...ROCKPORT...NEW
  CANTON...SUMMER HILL...EL DARA...NEW HARTFORD...MARTINSBURG...
  BAYLIS...NEW SALEM...FISHHOOK...DETROIT...VALLEY CITY AND PERRY.
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Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #17 on: April 15, 2012, 08:06:30 PM »
G-R-E-A-T Link Larry! Thanks for sharing!

And glad to hear that the clouds are keeping it stable up there in the lake state! :-)
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Offline chief-david

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #18 on: April 15, 2012, 08:36:39 PM »
and BOOM.  I am out of the tornado warning

The temp has dropped to 49.  and DP is 48.  Wind is from the north.

Forecast for tomorrow:
Rain/Snow
   Rain, possibly mixed with snow, mainly before 7am. High near 45. Breezy, with a north northwest wind between 11 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #19 on: April 15, 2012, 09:13:25 PM »
yuck snow.  With the week I've had, I'd probably kill myself if it snowed here tomorrow.
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Offline SlowModem

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Re: Possible Severe Outbreak Part 2 Today
« Reply #20 on: April 15, 2012, 10:32:51 PM »

Forecast for tomorrow:

Rain/Snow
   Rain, possibly mixed with snow, mainly before 7am. High near 45. Breezy, with a north northwest wind between 11 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

It's still winter there until July, right?
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