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Author Topic: 2010 weather extremes and La Nina?  (Read 707 times)
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Downlinerz2
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« on: January 15, 2011, 10:32:18 PM »

    I found this article on Accuweather by Gina Cherundolo.  It is interesting reading.

The Northern Hemisphere is in the midst of one of the strongest December La Niņas ever observed. This comes as a surprise to some, considering 2010 tied 2005 for the warmest year on record, as reported by NASA on Wednesday.

Additionally, AccuWeather.com Chief Long Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi has noted that worldwide temperatures December into January are below normal.

During a typical La Niņa pattern, the ocean waters of the equatorial central and eastern Pacific are much cooler than normal, and in turn have significant effects on the weather pattern in the United States and around the world.
This graphic shows what typically occurs during a La Niņa pattern. Not all weather events this winter have correlated with this pattern.
However, while some extreme weather events over the past year were reflective of what usually occurs during a La Niņa pattern, some were not.
La Niņa patterns can lead to increased precipitation and tropical activity in Australia and Southeast Asia. A tropical cyclone contributed to extreme rainfall in Australia, which led to disastrous flooding in Queensland.
"The copious rainfall is a direct result of La Niņa's effect on the Pacific
The Northern Hemisphere is in the midst of one of the strongest December La Niņas ever observed. This comes as a surprise to some, considering 2010 tied 2005 for the warmest year on record, as reported by NASA on Wednesday.
Additionally, AccuWeather.com Chief Long Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi has noted that worldwide temperatures December into January are below normal.
During a typical La Niņa pattern, the ocean waters of the equatorial central and eastern Pacific are much cooler than normal, and in turn have significant effects on the weather pattern in the United States and around the world.
This graphic shows what typically occurs during a La Niņa pattern. Not all weather events this winter have correlated with this pattern.
However, while some extreme weather events over the past year were reflective of what usually occurs during a La Niņa pattern, some were not.
La Niņa patterns can lead to increased precipitation and tropical activity in Australia and Southeast Asia. A tropical cyclone contributed to extreme rainfall in Australia, which led to disastrous flooding in Queensland.
"The copious rainfall is a direct result of La Niņa's effect on the Pacific trade winds and has made tropical Australia particularly rainy this year," David Adamec, a NASA oceanographer, said in Wednesday's report.
Other events coinciding with the La Niņa include the extreme cold the United Kingdom experienced last month.
The U.K.'s snowy December was the coldest on record.
Other worldwide weather events are very uncharacteristic of a La Niņa pattern.
During a La Niņa winter, the jet stream across the United States typically shifts northward, bringing wet weather to the Pacific Northwest, while giving the southern half of the country a dry, mild season.
This certainly has not been the case for the South so far this winter.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms led to extreme flooding in California and Utah in December.
The United States had its share of cold so far this winter. Most of the East Coast was much colder than normal in December, with the Southeast having the most significant departures from normal.
A storm that eventually dumped more snow on the Northeast began as a severe ice storm in the South, turning roads into sheets of ice.
Despite these uncharacteristic La Niņa weather events, the pattern will likely not be changing anytime soon.
"La Niņa is expected to continue well into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2011," according to Wednesday's report.
AccuWeather.com meteorologists think the La Niņa pattern will last well into summer, or perhaps even into early fall.
"If the La Niņa lasts into fall, it will likely continue into next winter," said AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Dale Mohler.

     
     
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Farmtalk
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2011, 10:53:00 PM »

great article!!!! The weather books that I have really dont talk about la nina or el nino very much, so I always that was something I needed to read about more...

We have been well below normal for the last month, and are 6 degrees below normal already this year
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Downlinerz2
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2011, 11:38:42 PM »

great article!!!! The weather books that I have really dont talk about la nina or el nino very much, so I always that was something I needed to read about more...
We have been well below normal for the last month, and are 6 degrees below normal already this year
    Pretty much the same here.  We have been mostly in Polar air as well this winter.  We have only hit 32F a couple times and we have been under 5400 meters for the 1000mb-500mb thickness on only 3 days since 1 Dec.
   You can find some El Nino and La Nina predictions at the Climate Prediction Center websit.                  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
   Mark
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Farmtalk
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2011, 11:41:53 PM »

Hey great link!! That will help me a lot Very Happy

Just saying that our weather extreme for 2010 was probably our abnormally hot summer and warm summer. We had well over 30 days of 90+ degree highs and humidity levels were consisitently between 65 and 75 degrees. Also, the Monday before Thanksgiving reached 84 degrees. Two weeks later we were 30 degrees below average with highs in the upper 10s and low 20s... Go figure; that's Mother Nature for ya Cool
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