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General Weather/Earth Sciences Topics => Long-Range U.S. Forecasts => Topic started by: KK7X on June 16, 2019, 09:56:00 AM

Title: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: KK7X on June 16, 2019, 09:56:00 AM
https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/06/us-weather-forecasts-get-a-software-update/
Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: WeatherHost on June 16, 2019, 10:07:47 AM
Oh goody, another model for the guessers to lean on so they can do less traditional work.

Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: Weatheroger on June 16, 2019, 11:58:43 AM
Ah, double hockey sticks.
Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: ocala on June 16, 2019, 12:01:23 PM
Oh goody, another model for the guessers to lean on so they can do less traditional work.
Isn't that all a forecast is. An educated guess?
Unless you put nano sensors at every 1K FT up to the  top of the stratosphere and space them out about every mile or so it's always going to be  guess.
It's a thankless job that gets no credit when it's right and all the blame when it's wrong.
Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: DaleReid on June 16, 2019, 12:12:07 PM
Is any disinterested party looking at the 'accuracy' (I would be interesting to see what improvements this one makes.

Does anyone know if the European Model is code that NOAA is using on our computers to run predictions?  We've all heard that the European model has been more accurate in some situations, so are the meteorologists in Europe running our weather data and generating maps here?  Very nice of them if they are.  Otherwise how do the various models get discussed and posted?

I saw several general news items of a few paragraphs long announcing this.  But were there any more in-depth stories in any of the science blogs etc about how the new model came to being, what was done, who oversaw the project, where the computing is done (maybe distributed) and so on for those of us who might want more information?

Thanks.  Dale
Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: ocala on June 16, 2019, 12:35:56 PM
Here you go Dale. Happy reading.
https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/fv3gfs/
https://research.noaa.gov/article/ArtMID/587/ArticleID/2465/New-engine-is-driving-NOAA%E2%80%99s-flagship-weather-forecast-model
Title: Re: The long-awaited upgrade to the US weather forecast model is here
Post by: DaleReid on June 16, 2019, 12:47:14 PM
thanks kind sir