Author Topic: La Nina continues to weaken  (Read 3583 times)

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Offline Downlinerz2

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La Nina continues to weaken
« on: March 18, 2011, 05:52:05 PM »
   The ENSO discussion on 10 March says that La Nina is weakening and there should be an ENSO-neutral condition by June.
   There will be continued effects for the US along with the weakening such as enhanced chance of below average precip in Southern states, Central Rockies, and Central Plains.  Also a increased chance of below average temps for the West Coast and Northern tier of states except NE.
   You can read the whole discussion at:
     http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf
    Mark

Offline Chris H.

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2011, 07:57:26 PM »
I feel like rejoicing.
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2011, 02:48:52 AM »
Almost hate to see it go, we had the perfect fall for harvest last year.  We only had one or two rain outs which was a pleasant change from the hell that was the previous two years. 
Hello my name is Jason, I am a Meteorologist, farmer, and auto journalist.
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Offline Andy Thompson

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2011, 10:05:14 AM »
I agree! Great fall for harvesting, but we were a little disappointed with our yields. By the way, what is the La Nina?
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Andy Thompson
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Offline Downlinerz2

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2011, 10:12:27 AM »
I agree! Great fall for harvesting, but we were a little disappointed with our yields. By the way, what is the La Nina?
  La Nina is when there is cooling of surface Ocean waters in Eastern tropical Pacific.  It is part of what is called ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation). El Nino is the other end with warming of the surface ocean waters.  ENSO-neutral is when the waters are at the normal temperatures.  
   Mark
ADDED: You can find info at the Climate Prediction Center website.
     www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
« Last Edit: March 19, 2011, 10:15:04 AM by Downlinerz2 »

Offline Andy Thompson

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2011, 12:11:05 PM »
Ok, so my understanding says that this occurs every year?
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Andy Thompson
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Offline KeithBC

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2011, 12:28:52 PM »
Ok, so my understanding says that this occurs every year?
Nope.  The ENSO is a very irregular cycle.  The period is normally longer than a year, often two to five years, but with no regularity at all.

Offline Chris H.

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2011, 01:22:48 PM »
This last La Nina has lasted for about a year and some odd months (I think - will have to look at records).

This isn't the worst La Nina but most La Nina's aren't good where I live.
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Offline tbern

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #8 on: March 19, 2011, 01:42:59 PM »
Almost hate to see it go, we had the perfect fall for harvest last year.  We only had one or two rain outs which was a pleasant change from the hell that was the previous two years. 
I agree! Great fall for harvesting, but we were a little disappointed with our yields. By the way, what is the La Nina?
  in my part of mn, the harvest was not fun, way to much rain during the summer left water standing in fields, combines getting stuck, leaving ruts in the fields trying to get the crop out, lots of farmers using tracks (big bucks!} on their combines just to try and get threw the mud. what a mess. ](*,)  hope this spring will be warm and dry for a while, but extended forcasts don't look good.

Offline Andy Thompson

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #9 on: March 19, 2011, 04:46:53 PM »
I didn't realize there were many from my state that were on the Weather Forum.
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Andy Thompson
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2011, 01:22:56 AM »
Almost hate to see it go, we had the perfect fall for harvest last year.  We only had one or two rain outs which was a pleasant change from the hell that was the previous two years.  
I agree! Great fall for harvesting, but we were a little disappointed with our yields. By the way, what is the La Nina?
 in my part of mn, the harvest was not fun, way to much rain during the summer left water standing in fields, combines getting stuck, leaving ruts in the fields trying to get the crop out, lots of farmers using tracks (big bucks!} on their combines just to try and get threw the mud. what a mess. ](*,)  hope this spring will be warm and dry for a while, but extended forcasts don't look good.




We've run tracks on everything since 08 anyway.  Which was the worst year we had ever had for field conditions, until 09.  I hope this year is a better year for everyone.  We'd start planting corn this week if it'd dry up, but it's not going to.  
« Last Edit: March 20, 2011, 02:27:13 PM by IMADreamer »
Hello my name is Jason, I am a Meteorologist, farmer, and auto journalist.
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Offline Andy Thompson

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2011, 07:25:05 AM »
I have now seen 3 other people who have made posts like this. #-o What do you want us to know and why?
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Andy Thompson
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Offline IMADreamer

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2011, 02:28:04 PM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........
Hello my name is Jason, I am a Meteorologist, farmer, and auto journalist.
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Offline Chris H.

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #13 on: March 20, 2011, 07:30:27 PM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........

Seems to work fine. You just need to find the last and final quote marker.
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Offline Westsydneyweather

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #14 on: March 20, 2011, 08:18:06 PM »
What La Nina?
Here in the Lower Blue mountains West of Sydney we have barely had any rain this summer.
Just recently we have started to recieve some decent rain.

Have not had as much rain here in the Lower Blue Mountains as Sydney siders.
But we are still 'finally' getting some decent rain:
yesterday: 27mm
Saturday: 18mm

Total for March so far is: 95mm

http://westsydneyweather.co.cc/weatherstation.htm

Offline Downlinerz2

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #15 on: March 20, 2011, 09:11:27 PM »
What La Nina?
Here in the Lower Blue mountains West of Sydney we have barely had any rain this summer.
Just recently we have started to recieve some decent rain.
Have not had as much rain here in the Lower Blue Mountains as Sydney siders.
But we are still 'finally' getting some decent rain:
yesterday: 27mm
Saturday: 18mm
Total for March so far is: 95mm
http://westsydneyweather.co.cc/weatherstation.htm
    I do not know a lot about La Nina (or El Nino) but I don't think the consequences of them is very predictable.  I did read on the HPC website that the cool periods (La Nina) cause wetter than normal conditions in Northern Australia, Indonesia, and Malaysia during Northern Winter.  But, when it comes to the conditions that result from the La Nina's vary each cycle depending on where in the region of the ENSO the warmer or cooler water predominates. This is only an opinion from what I have read so far.  I have much more to read on the subject.
Seems like some places in Australia have had unbelievably terrible weather this year.  I hope you get what you need there.
    Mark

Offline IMADreamer

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #16 on: March 20, 2011, 10:36:22 PM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........

Seems to work fine. You just need to find the last and final quote marker.

I've looked twice now and my text is definitely after the end quote. 
Hello my name is Jason, I am a Meteorologist, farmer, and auto journalist.
www.infinite-garage.com

Offline Chris H.

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #17 on: March 21, 2011, 02:37:11 AM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........

Seems to work fine. You just need to find the last and final quote marker.

I've looked twice now and my text is definitely after the end quote.  

What browser are you using? It seems even when I try to quote what you quoted, it still doesn't turn up right.
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Offline DanS

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #18 on: March 21, 2011, 05:07:39 AM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........

Seems to work fine. You just need to find the last and final quote marker.

I've looked twice now and my text is definitely after the end quote.  

Looks like there are more 'quote's than '/quote's as if one '/quote' got inadvertently erased leaving your reply to be included.
« Last Edit: March 21, 2011, 05:09:10 AM by DanS »

Offline IMADreamer

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Re: La Nina continues to weaken
« Reply #19 on: March 21, 2011, 02:43:07 PM »
I think the quote feature is broken.  lol  Even though what I typed was outside of the quote command it still shows up like I quoted myself.  Weird........

Seems to work fine. You just need to find the last and final quote marker.

I've looked twice now and my text is definitely after the end quote.  

Looks like there are more 'quote's than '/quote's as if one '/quote' got inadvertently erased leaving your reply to be included.

Ahhh, I figured it was something simple.
Hello my name is Jason, I am a Meteorologist, farmer, and auto journalist.
www.infinite-garage.com

 

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