Author Topic: Bill  (Read 3069 times)

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Offline offroadjosh

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Bill
« on: August 15, 2009, 07:00:18 PM »
satellite imagery indicates that the depression in the far eastern
Atlantic has continued to become better organized. The cyclone is
large and has numerous cyclonically-curved convective bands with
the outflow primarily on the western semicircle. Dvorak T-numbers
have increased and support upgrading the system to tropical storm
status with an initial intensity of 35 knots. Bill is expected to
remain over warm waters and embedded within light shear through the
forecast period. Strengthening is indicated and Bill is expected to
become a hurricane in 3 to 4 days. This is consistent with the
upward intensity trend indicated by the guidance.

Bill is in the deep tropics and is well-embedded within the easterly
trade winds. The cyclone is moving just south of due west or 265
degrees at 14 knots. In general...no significant change in the
steering currents is anticipated and Bill should begin to turn a
little more to the west-northwest around the periphery of the
subtropical ridge in a day or so...with little change in forward
speed. There has not been a significant change in the guidance...and
the bulk of the models has Bill as a hurricane just north and very
near the northern Leeward Islands and so does the official
forecast.

 

 
Forecast positions and Max winds

 
initial      15/2100z 11.3n  35.2w    35 kt
 12hr VT     16/0600z 11.2n  37.2w    35 kt
 24hr VT     16/1800z 11.5n  40.0w    45 kt
 36hr VT     17/0600z 12.0n  43.0w    50 kt
 48hr VT     17/1800z 13.0n  46.0w    55 kt
 72hr VT     18/1800z 14.5n  52.0w    60 kt
 96hr VT     19/1800z 17.0n  58.0w    75 kt
120hr VT     20/1800z 19.5n  63.5w    90 kt

 
$$
forecaster Avila

 
Josh Patten

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Offline Downlinerz2

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Re: Bill
« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2009, 09:40:32 PM »
  Looks like Bill might be something to keep our eye on.  Seems like it's been pretty quiet in the Atlantic so far.  I have been watching Guillermo in the E. Pacific.  It is a Cat 2 now.
Looks like it will go North of Hawaii.
« Last Edit: August 15, 2009, 09:44:49 PM by Downlinerz2 »

Offline ncpilot

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Re: Bill
« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2009, 09:45:18 PM »
Crap!

Although it could zip up the coast instead of hitting us...
Marc
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Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Bill
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2009, 05:26:30 AM »
They call him HURRICANE Bill.













Oh no, Mr. Bill!!! :oops:


Offline xmas111

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Re: Bill
« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2009, 10:45:01 AM »
I've been getting some pretty good images of Bill from my satellite images....pretty impressive hurricane.

satellite images

Offline Downlinerz2

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Re: Bill
« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2009, 05:47:38 PM »
I've been getting some pretty good images of Bill from my satellite images....pretty impressive hurricane.
satellite images
   Those are some excellent pics!!  You can also see some impressive pics from NASA taken from the ISS.

Offline port1

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Re: Bill
« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2009, 06:52:09 PM »
 :eek:  It sure is a large, broad storm.
I know someone that went on a cruise to, guess where, Bermuda!  #-o
Aah, I don't think so...
Does anyone hear the phrase: "Refund"?  Not... :-({|= [-X [-( =;

Wow! haven't used so many "appropriate" smileys in a long time!
 :grin:

Henry
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