This is usually the normal time of year these things really get cranking. Normally this time of year you will see Gulf Of Mexico formation but that likely is not going to happen this year. The recent trends are really strange this year because of the early pacific fronts that are sweeping across the nation. You normally don't see these this early in the year, at least not this far South. Normally here in Texas we are still in the Mid 90's to 100's right now. Past 2 weeks we have been upper 80's to low 90's. Very pleasant weather to say the least for Texas this time of year. Anyways, point I am trying to make, is these fronts act as steering currents. Which is why the storms that have formed have ether just barely brushed the East Coast or take a U-turn back out into the Atlantic because the fronts push through and steer them away. I am just curious how long this trend will last. It is still early but I think Erika might have a chance to make it in the gulf if the high pressure over the NE weakens at the right time and what the track of the reminiscence of the Pacific storm takes or does.