Author Topic: Hurricane Sandy  (Read 16713 times)

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Offline Tusker2Zero

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Hurricane Sandy
« on: October 26, 2012, 12:34:09 AM »
Latest look at Sandy as of about 11pm central on 10/25:
http://i.imgur.com/QQmMq.jpg

Offline WeatherHost

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2012, 02:21:57 AM »

Offline ocala

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2012, 05:22:43 AM »
Latest look at Sandy as of about 11pm central on 10/25:
http://i.imgur.com/QQmMq.jpg
One of these days I am going to buy that program.
The blues had a baby and they named it Rock & Roll

Offline capeweather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2012, 08:19:43 AM »
What program / software is it?

Latest look at Sandy as of about 11pm central on 10/25:
http://i.imgur.com/QQmMq.jpg
One of these days I am going to buy that program.

Chris
Cape Coral, Florida
Website: http://www.capeweather.com
Website: http://www.fortmyersweather.net

Offline Farmtalk

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2012, 01:03:43 PM »
Looks like a lot of rain from where I am (Central WV) to the Atlantic Coast...
Joe Fitzwater
Chief Meteorologist for WVNS-TV 59 in Beckley, WV

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Offline ocala

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2012, 06:54:27 PM »
What program / software is it?

Latest look at Sandy as of about 11pm central on 10/25:
http://i.imgur.com/QQmMq.jpg
One of these days I am going to buy that program.
It's Weather Studio Chris.
http://weatherstudio.paulmarv.com/
The blues had a baby and they named it Rock & Roll

Offline Tusker2Zero

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 01:42:18 AM »
Dear sweet Sandy as of just after 12am this morning:
http://i.imgur.com/9vVjw.jpg

Offline capeweather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2012, 09:44:55 AM »
How easy is this software to use? Can you upload multiple files? I'm mainly interested in the tropical weather but would consider adding radar imagery as well. Thanks.

Dear sweet Sandy as of just after 12am this morning:
http://i.imgur.com/9vVjw.jpg

Chris
Cape Coral, Florida
Website: http://www.capeweather.com
Website: http://www.fortmyersweather.net

Offline capeweather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 09:45:27 AM »
Thanks Ocala! This software looks cool!

What program / software is it?

Latest look at Sandy as of about 11pm central on 10/25:
http://i.imgur.com/QQmMq.jpg
One of these days I am going to buy that program.
It's Weather Studio Chris.
http://weatherstudio.paulmarv.com/

Chris
Cape Coral, Florida
Website: http://www.capeweather.com
Website: http://www.fortmyersweather.net

Offline Tusker2Zero

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2012, 03:16:23 PM »
How easy is this software to use? Can you upload multiple files? I'm mainly interested in the tropical weather but would consider adding radar imagery as well. Thanks.

It's fairly easy, but as with other feature rich software there is going to be a learning curve. But, it's not that bad.

WeatherStudio is great for tropical weather and looking at the weather and radar as a whole on a nationwide or regional basis. To be honest though, I still use GRLevel3 for looking at local radar data. One of the big reasons I got this program (other than for its cool tropical weather features) was for its forecast modeling. It includes a wide array of model selections for the RAP, NAM, GFS, and NDFD models. All of this for one low price WITHOUT any annual data fees.

Is it perfect? No. there are still bugs to be worked out of the program, and they're working on it. The program is still a young one and as with anything else it takes time to work these things out. Also, if your using an older machine, or something without a graphics card in it, your going to find that this program is going to run rather slow on it. I have a three year old Gateway laptop running Windows Vista, and it runs a bit slow, but is still quite usable.

For me (and what little money I have to spend), WeatherStudio is the perfect companion to GRLevel3. This program is definitely worth taking a look at, and keeping an eye on in the future, as the kinks are worked out of it and new features (that are in the works) are added.

While keeping all of the caveats mentioned above in mind, I do recommend this program as it has plenty of useable and working features that most of us weather weenies can use right now, and even more cool and useful features to be added on the horizon. Also, the price is spot on, in my opinion. Anyway, for what it's worth, that's my two cents.  :-)

PS. WeatherStudio does have an FTP and auto capturing features, but I have not played with them. So, I'm the wrong person to answer your question about uploading to a website. I primarily just manually take screenshots and post them to Facebook and a couple of forum sites.


Offline Tusker2Zero

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2012, 03:52:19 AM »
A GRLevel3 shot of Sandy this morning. Data from buoy 41036 shows winds of 45mph with gusts to 56mph:
http://i.imgur.com/tbmkx.jpg

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2012, 06:33:51 AM »
Ship report from this morning off the coast of SC reports 72 mph winds.

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2012, 08:31:21 AM »
Sandy has had a 10mb drop in pressure since 2am (down to 951mb). We the are just now beginning to see the real intensification process. Sandy is now interacting with the 500 mb winds and this interaction will only increase up to landfall. This is going to be VERY bad.

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2012, 08:32:44 AM »
Good animation of the rapid intensification process
http://www.daculaweather.com/4_hpc_height_trends.php

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2012, 08:36:01 AM »
This was shortly after midnight when this was posted... and she's only going to get stronger...

"Even though the pressure hasn't dropped Sandy has been intensifying in the sense that the wind field is expanding. Sandy now has the largest Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE) of any tropical cyclone in history, 222 terajoules (one trillion joules, 10^12). This gives it tremendous surge and wave potential."

Offline SlowModem

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2012, 08:36:44 AM »
Sandy has had a 10mb drop in pressure since 2am (down to 951mb). We the are just now beginning to see the real intensification process. Sandy is now interacting with the 500 mb winds and this interaction will only increase up to landfall. This is going to be VERY bad.


It intensified at night.  Once the sun starts heating things up, it will be worse.
Greg Whitehead
Ten Mile, TN USA

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2012, 08:38:17 AM »
9mb drop since 5am

Offline SlowModem

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2012, 10:24:24 AM »
TWC just predicted 25 ft. waves on the great lakes.
Greg Whitehead
Ten Mile, TN USA

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2012, 10:35:23 AM »
I believe it. I've been on Lake Michigan when we had 15-20 foot waves. Scary.

Offline capeweather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2012, 10:45:03 AM »
Thank you Tusk! Will definitely look into this and give it a shot.

How easy is this software to use? Can you upload multiple files? I'm mainly interested in the tropical weather but would consider adding radar imagery as well. Thanks.

It's fairly easy, but as with other feature rich software there is going to be a learning curve. But, it's not that bad.

WeatherStudio is great for tropical weather and looking at the weather and radar as a whole on a nationwide or regional basis. To be honest though, I still use GRLevel3 for looking at local radar data. One of the big reasons I got this program (other than for its cool tropical weather features) was for its forecast modeling. It includes a wide array of model selections for the RAP, NAM, GFS, and NDFD models. All of this for one low price WITHOUT any annual data fees.

Is it perfect? No. there are still bugs to be worked out of the program, and they're working on it. The program is still a young one and as with anything else it takes time to work these things out. Also, if your using an older machine, or something without a graphics card in it, your going to find that this program is going to run rather slow on it. I have a three year old Gateway laptop running Windows Vista, and it runs a bit slow, but is still quite usable.

For me (and what little money I have to spend), WeatherStudio is the perfect companion to GRLevel3. This program is definitely worth taking a look at, and keeping an eye on in the future, as the kinks are worked out of it and new features (that are in the works) are added.

While keeping all of the caveats mentioned above in mind, I do recommend this program as it has plenty of useable and working features that most of us weather weenies can use right now, and even more cool and useful features to be added on the horizon. Also, the price is spot on, in my opinion. Anyway, for what it's worth, that's my two cents.  :-)

PS. WeatherStudio does have an FTP and auto capturing features, but I have not played with them. So, I'm the wrong person to answer your question about uploading to a website. I primarily just manually take screenshots and post them to Facebook and a couple of forum sites.



Chris
Cape Coral, Florida
Website: http://www.capeweather.com
Website: http://www.fortmyersweather.net

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2012, 11:00:50 AM »
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1100 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SANDY EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK
HARBOR...
...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AT LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 72.6W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2012, 11:01:30 AM »
IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2012, 11:36:16 AM »
I wanted to pass this along, just got this a few minutes ago...

--------------------------------------------

E-mail from Jeff Lindner (Pro Met Harris County, TX Flood Control District):

Unprecedented cyclone impact to the NE US and mid Atlantic over the next 72 hours will require a significant and coordinated local, state and federal response.

Life threatening record breaking storm surge event likely for northern New Jersey and New York Harbor including Long Island Sound, the Hudson River, and Raritan Bay.

Preparations to protect life and property must be completed by dark today…failure to comply with mandatory evacuation orders will place lives in danger.

Hurricane Sandy becomes the second largest tropical cyclone ever in the Atlantic basin with tropical storm force winds extending outward 520 miles from the center and hurricane force winds 175 miles from the center.

Discussion:

Unfortunately, historic ingredients coming together exactly as forecasting models have predicted to bring a massive and highly destructive storm to the eastern 1/3rd of the United States.

Hurricane Sandy moving to the NE this morning well off the North Carolina coast however tropical storm force winds and high seas are battering the eastern part of North Carolina and spreading northward toward the lower DELMARVA area. Latest recon passes indicate a central pressure down to 951mb or nearly equal to Hurricane Ike….only much larger in size. The wind field continues to expand outward as Sandy is increasingly coming under more mid latitude influences however deep convection is being maintained near the center of the system and Sandy remains a tropical cyclone at this time.

There is little spread now in the forecast track of Sandy and its post tropical “mega” storm with nearly all available meteorological tools showing the center of the system crossing the central New Jersey coast Monday evening near the time of high tide! The GFS is forecasting an absolutely astounding 53mb pressure fall in 6 hrs along the New Jersey coast Monday evening as this storm moves ashore.

Forecasted central pressures for the system as it makes landfall look to break historical pressure records which range from the mid to low 960’s for nearly all the major eastern US cities. For comparison, the current central pressure of Sandy would break all pressure records in this part of the country by 10-15mb. The current 951mb pressure is already significantly lower than the 1991 Perfect Storm: 972mb and the superstorm of 1993: 960mb both of which crippled the eastern US.

Impacts:

Storm Surge
A “worst case” track for life threatening and devastating storm surge is likely for northern New Jersey and New York City including Long Island and Long Island Sound. It is likely that Sandy will be moving onshore Monday evening very near the lunar high tide peak only worsening the potential for record breaking storm surge. Extra-tropical storm surge modeling is producing record values for the northern New Jersey coast at Sandy Hook and at the NYC Battery. The previous Sandy Hook, NJ record is 10.1 ft in 1960, and the forecast for Monday evening is a peak surge of 11-12 feet. Surge values at the western end of Long Island Sound pushing toward eastern New York City are on the order of 11-13 feet and 10-11 feet at “The Battery” in NYC. For comparison, Hurricane Irene last year produced about a 6 foot storm surge into western Long Island Sound and NYC. This is a perfect setup for a large and destructive sea water inundation event over the north New Jersey and New York coast. Areas that have never flooded before will likely flood with sea water in this event and it is likely that sea water will enter and flood the New York City subway system.

Wave watch III models and local SWAN modeling shows massive offshore waves of 25-40 ft breaking at 15 feet on the beaches. Dune protection will be completely destroyed and as the storm surge and high tide peak Monday evening, large and destructive wave action will be aimed into coastal structures….many structures will be battered to the point of total collapse or washed into the ocean. Surge and wave action will likely overtop the Jersey boardwalk and seawall protection especially along the northern New Jersey coast.

On a scale of 0-6, this storm has a 5.2 storm surge damage rating!

Winds:
Strong winds will begin to arrive on the coast this evening and spread inland on Monday with the greatest winds expected Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. Sustained winds of 35-50mph with frequent gust to 65-80mph will occur from the DELMARVA To southern New England and well inland over much of the NE US, eastern Canada, and portions of the OH valley. Winds will batter this area for 20-48 hours producing a long duration event. Trees and power lines will give way over time and suspect that this storm will produce one of the largest if not the largest power outages ever in the US. It is likely that over 10-20 million persons will be without power as this storm passes. Power restoration and debris clean up will take weeks!

Rainfall:
Rainfall totals of 4-8 inches will be common over a large area of the NE US and mid-Atlantic resulting in major inland flooding. Isolated totals of 12 inches will be possible over the DELMARVA. Historically flood prone areas will likely experience flooding with rivers and creeks possibly recording major flooding levels.

Snow:
Heavy wet snow will be possible on the backside of the system over portions of WV and eastern OH as the cold air sweeps into the backside of the system. Totals of 12-18 inches will be possible, but due to the wet nature of the event, trees will likely be brought down due to the weight of the snow.

Significant and potentially long term disruptions in travel are likely!

Offline DaculaWeather

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2012, 11:39:39 AM »
Weather Decisions Technology (WDT) analysis model projects Sandy to be a 500-to-1,000 year precipitation event for some parts of the Mid-Atlantic with a 100-250 year precipitation event for broader areas mainly over the Delmarva.

Offline ocala

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Re: Hurricane Sandy
« Reply #24 on: October 28, 2012, 11:52:44 AM »
Steve that warning almost reminds me of the warning put out prior to Katrina's landfall. :shock:
The blues had a baby and they named it Rock & Roll