That TStats sure does have 2018 way down. ENSO/El Nino factors into what I read.
I've looked for the text report that had that +12degF above 'daily avg temp' and can't find it on a tab, I'll poke around in the browser history. It was part of an extended text forecast.
I don't doubt because we've been living it for weeks now.
Even the teevee WX jocks are now mentioning that things have been/are way above the averages lately and will continue. We don't usually get into the periodic excessive temp multi-day/week stretches until late July-September.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/color/t.gifhttps://www.weather.gov/hun/climateforecasthttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/poe_index.php?lead=1&var=thttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html"PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR LONG-LEAD SEASONAL OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM EDT THU MAY 17 2018
SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS
ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO SUMMER 2018 WITH A GROWING CHANCE OF
EL NINO BY FALL AND WINTER 2018-19. THE JUNE-AUGUST (JJA) 2018 TEMPERATURE
OUTLOOK FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED
STATES (CONUS), THE EXCEPTION BEING THE VICINITY THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS AND THE MIDWEST, WHERE EQUAL CHANCES (EC) OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED. THE GREATEST PROBABILITIES REACH OR EXCEED 60%
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST. ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE LIKEWISE
FAVORED OVER ALASKA, WITH THE LOWEST PROBABILITIES OVER CENTRAL MAINLAND ALASKA.
THE JJA 2018 PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST
OF MAINLAND ALASKA AND MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS. ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IS ALSO
FAVORED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHILE BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST.
IN SUBSEQUENT LEADS THE INCREASED ODDS OF EL NINO ARE FACTORED INTO THE
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS. GENERALLY, THIS IS MANIFEST IN TERMS OF
PROBABILITIES BEING SHIFTED TOWARD WETTER AND COOLER OUTCOMES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. IN THE FALL AND WINTER RELATIVE TO PREVIOUS OUTLOOKS.
LIKEWISE, ODDS OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY INCREASED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN U.S., ESPECIALLY FROM SON THROUGH JFM.
EQUAL CHANCES (EC) ARE FORECAST IN AREAS WHERE CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES ARE
INDICATED FOR SEASONAL MEAN TEMPERATURES AND SEASONAL ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS.
BASIS AND SUMMARY OF THE CURRENT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOKS
NOTE: FOR GRAPHICAL DISPLAYS OF THE FORECAST TOOLS DISCUSSED BELOW SEE:
http://HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/TOOLS/BRIEFING CURRENT ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS "