I understand completely Bushman, but keep in mind that I am not forecasting a particular night - I'm simply drawing boundaries on the "behavior" of how temperatures work. How fast they might decline in 8.5 hours, as it turns out.
Yes sure it's not the same as measurements right here, but they're only 15 miles away on fairly moderate terrain. It's not like I took or lumped in historical data from a desert, the Alps, a coastline, the Arctic, or whatever. Also don't forget that, since we're talking overnight, we can remove one thing that can otherwise make a huge difference in temperatures at a microlevel - whether the sun is shining on you (or it happens to be more cloudy over my house, than 15 miles away).
Prior to this I had no real boundaries at all, except perhaps that it had to be below freezing, of course. If I had to pluck something out of the air, it would've been 24 (as shown above), but that was known to be a total guess. Now I know it's got to be around 21 or less.
It makes a big difference here in Atlanta because we flirt with freezing temps all winter long, but it rarely gets into the low 20s or teens. (It only got to 13 or less seven times in the past 5 years.)